Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick – September 19, 2024
Thursday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Brewers is set to get started at 7:15 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. FOX is carrying this one on TV, and the Brewers are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -101 compared to the Diamondbacks at -116.
Looking at the standings, the Brewers are 88-64 and are 1st in the NL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 84-68. Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers for the Brewers.
Diamondbacks Look to Bounce Back Against Dodgers: Pfaadt Takes the Mound Amid High-Scoring Season
Arizona is 84-68 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West, six games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks are 26-20 in divisional play and 42-35 on the road. They are coming off a series loss to the Rockies and have gone 26-19-4 in series this year.
Arizona’s games have averaged 10.4 runs per game this season, and the Diamondbacks have a record of 87-58 on the over/under line. The over is 11-6-2 in their games when the line is set at 8 runs. Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and has a 9-9 record with a 4.81 ERA. He is coming off a rough outing and has 12 quality starts this year. The Diamondbacks offense has been the best in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Their top hitters include Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suárez.
Brewers Look to Extend Winning Streak at Home Against Diamondbacks
Milwaukee is at home today for their matchup vs. the Diamondbacks, and they lead the NL Central by 11 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers’ overall record is 88-64, and they are 30-19 in divisional games this year. The Brewers have an even 44-30 record at home this year, and they are 44-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 51-36 this year, and they are 37-28 as the underdog. Milwaukee has an overall series record of 28-17-4 and have won three straight series overall and four straight on the road.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Brewers have played in games with an average of 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 77-65. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-11-5. Overall, 53.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games. The Brewers are starting right-hander Tobias Myers vs. the Diamondbacks today, and he comes into the game with a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 3.07. Myers has made 23 starts this season and has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Myers gave up four earned runs in six innings of work but still came away with the win. Before that, he had given up a combined five earned runs in two straight starts. Myers has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 3.47 compared to 5-5 with a 3.27 ERA on the road.
Brewers Favored in Tight Matchup Against Diamondbacks
Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -101. We have the Brewers taking this one by a final score of 6-5. With the payout being close to even, we see this as a great opportunity to take the Brewers to pick up a win.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to take the over/under, with the line sitting at 8 runs. However, we have this one going over, but we would recommend sticking with the Brewers on the money line.