Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick for June 11, 2024
The forecast for Tuesday’s Braves vs. Orioles interleague matchup calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 70s. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 PM ET. BSSO is carrying Braves coverage on TV.
Max Fried and the Braves are -135 on the money line compared to the Orioles and Albert Suarez, who are +115. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Orioles are looking to extend a four-game win streak. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line.
Braves Battle for NL East: Max Fried Shines as Atlanta Faces Orioles,
Atlanta is 35-28 overall this season and are 12-11 in divisional games. They are 9 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves are 19-12 at home and 16-16 on the road. Overall, they are 34-24 as the favorite and 1-4 as the underdog. Their series record is 12-7-2 this season.
Max Fried is 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA this season and has a WHIP of 1.02. He has two complete games and one shutout. Fried has won three straight starts. The Braves are 17-15 on the run line on the road and are 31-32 overall. Atlanta is 12th in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. Marcell Ozuna leads the team in average, OBP, home runs, and RBI. He is hitting .314 over his last 9 games. The Braves are on the road against the Orioles today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs.
Red-Hot Orioles Host Braves: Baltimore’s Winning Streak and Power Surge Continue,
The Orioles are 43-22 overall and trail the Yankees by 2.5 games in the AL East. They have won four straight games and are 4-0 in their last series. Baltimore is 21-12 at home and 22-10 on the road. They are 7-4 as the underdog and 14-4-3 in series this season. The Orioles are hosting the Braves today and have an over/under line of 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and they are 33-24 overall on the over/under line.
Albert Suárez is 2-0 through six starts for the Orioles and has an ERA of 1.83. The Orioles lead the league in runs per game with 5.2 and have the most home runs with 104. Adley Rutschman is hitting .306 with 13 homers and 49 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has 21 homers and 46 RBIs. Anthony Santander is hitting .258 with four homers in his last eight games. Henderson is on a five-game hitting streak.
Orioles Offer Great Value on Money Line and Run Line Against Braves,
We see the Orioles as a great value pick today on the money line at +115. Our model actually has the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-4. So you could also look to take the Orioles on the run line if you want a little more payout, as they are still paying out at +115 on the money line.
Looking at the starters, Albert Suarez actually has the highest projected innings total of any starter today, and his chances of picking up a win are also higher than Max Fried. Suarez is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Fried is projected to finish with five.