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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Betting Prediction – 9/11/2024

At 7:10 PM ET, the Orioles and Red Sox face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Fenway Park in Boston, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -124. The Orioles are +104 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.

Wednesday’s forecast in Boston calls for temperatures in the high 70s and partly cloudy skies. Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox. Kremer has an ERA of 5.65, while Pivetta’s ERA is 4.37.

Orioles Close In on Yankees in AL East as Kremer Takes the Mound Against Red Sox

The Orioles are 83-63 overall and are just a half-game behind the Yankees in the AL East. They are 30-18 against other AL East teams. Baltimore is 42-33 at home and 41-30 on the road. Their series record is 24-14-7, and they are currently tied with the Red Sox in this series. The Orioles are 67-47 as the favorite and 16-16 as the underdog. Their over/under record is 78-57, and they have a 15-14-4 record when the O/U line is set at 9 runs.

Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today against the Red Sox. He is 7-9 with a 4.27 ERA this year. Kremer has a WHIP of 1.27, and opponents are hitting .220 off him. The Orioles are 79-67 against the run line this season, and they are 43-28 on the road. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. The Orioles have the 2nd most home runs in the league this season and are 1st in slugging percentage. Gunnar Henderson has 36 home runs and 85 RBI this year, and Anthony Santander has 40 home runs and 94 RBI. Cedric Mullins and Gunnar Henderson have been hitting well recently, with Henderson currently on a 3-game hitting streak.

Red Sox Look to Break Slump Against Orioles: Betting Odds and Key Stats

The Red Sox are 73-72 overall and 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 10 games. They are also 12 games behind the Yankees for the top AL Wild Card spot. Boston is 19-19 in divisional games this year and have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games. Nick Pivetta is 5-10 with a 4.38 ERA this year and has nine quality starts. The Red Sox are favored in today’s game against the Orioles and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Boston has an over/under record of 74-64 this year and are 8-5-3 when the over/under line is set at 9 runs.

Overall, the Red Sox are 22-17-6 in series games and are currently tied with the Orioles. The Red Sox have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 40-31 compared to 27-47 at home. Boston is 40-33 when favored and 40-32 as an underdog. Their combined run average is 9.5 runs, and they have been favored in 73 games this season. Offensively, they are 8th in runs per game and 5th in batting average. Their slugging percentage and OPS are both 4th in the league.

Orioles Offer Great Value at +104: Expect a High-Scoring Game with Kremer Outlasting Pivetta

Getting the Orioles at +104 on the money line is a great value, as we actually have them winning this game by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at nine runs, you could also look to take the over, as we have this game going over that line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Dean Kremer finishing with around five strikeouts, while Nick Pivetta is projected to finish with six. However, we have Pivetta going just five innings, compared to Kremer, who we have going six.

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