From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Orioles and Red Sox facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 82-63 this season, while the Red Sox are 73-71. Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing an Orioles team that has lost three straight. Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles.
Baltimore is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -105 compared to the Red Sox at -113. Tonight’s over/under line is 9.5 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN.
Orioles Look to Break Losing Streak as Suárez Takes the Mound Against Red Sox
The Orioles are 82-63 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore is on a three-game losing streak, dropping the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. So far, they have gone 29-18 in AL East matchups. At home, the Orioles are 42-33 this season, and they are 40-30 on the road.
As the favorite, the Orioles are 67-47 this season, and they are 15-16 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 24-14-7 this year. Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.49 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.31. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs. Before that, he had put together a nice stretch, going 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts. Suárez has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings.
When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-56. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-2. Only 2.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, with just three games having that high of a line this season.
The Baltimore Orioles have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 4th in runs per game at 4.9. Their home and road splits are solid, with 5.1 runs per game on the road (3rd) and 4.7 at home (10th). The Orioles have hit the 2nd most home runs in the league with 212, and their .438 slugging percentage is tops in the league. Gunnar Henderson has been a standout hitter for the Orioles this season, leading the team in batting average at .282 and on-base percentage at .367. In his last 5 games, he’s hitting .429 with 2 home runs and 9 hits. Anthony Santander has also been a key contributor with 40 home runs and 94 RBI on the season.
Red Sox Look to Rebound with Crawford on the Mound Amid Playoff Push
Boston is 73-71 overall and 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 10 games. They are 19-18 in divisional games and 34-39 at home. The Red Sox have lost four of their last six games and are 4-6 over their last 10. Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox today and is 8-13 with a 4.08 ERA this season. He is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets. In that game, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Overall, opponents are hitting .212 off him.
When the Red Sox are favored, they are just 27-45 against the run line. As the underdog, they have gone 40-32. Boston’s overall series record is 22-17-6 this season. Offensively, they are 7th in runs per game and 6th in homers. Their team batting average of .257 is 5th, and their .434 slugging percentage is 4th. Today, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, which is the same as the Red Sox combined run average this season. Boston has gone over the line in 13 of 27 games when the line is set at 9.5 runs.
Underdog Orioles Predicted to Edge Out Red Sox 6-5: A Smart Money Line Bet
Our predicted score for this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles. Given that the Orioles are the underdogs at -105, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning the game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Albert Suarez finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Kutter Crawford, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is 15th best.
Offensively, the Orioles lineup is projected to have the most hits in the league today and finish with 11 strikeouts. As for the Red Sox, they are projected to finish with nine hits and five runs.
Our recommended bet is to take the Orioles on the money line.
