Wednesday’s Red Sox vs. Marlins interleague matchup has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. Boston is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 3rd in the AL East with a record of 45-39, while the Marlins have lost two straight and are 5th in the NL East at 30-55.
The money line odds have the Red Sox at -143, while the Marlins are the slight home underdogs at +122. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecasted temperature in Miami is 85 degrees with a chance of thunderstorms.
Red Sox Look to Extend Road Streak Against Marlins: Bello Takes the Mound
The Boston Red Sox are 45-39 overall and trail the Orioles by 8.5 games in the AL East. They are 11-10 in division games and have won three straight on the road. Boston is 11-3 as the road favorite this year and 24-18 overall as the favorite. They are 21-21 when listed as the underdog. Today, they are on the road against the Miami Marlins, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Red Sox have played in 79 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 40-39.
Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox today and is 7-5 with a 5.55 ERA. He has a WHIP of 1.47 and has three quality starts. Bello is coming off a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings. The Red Sox offense is 11th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They are 6th in scoring on the road at 5.0 runs per game. Their .32 BABIP is the best in the league, and they are hitting .254 as a team, which is 7th. Rafael Devers has been hot lately, hitting .407 with 4 home runs and 8 RBI in his last 7 games.
Marlins Struggle to Stay Afloat: Can Trevor Rogers Turn the Tide?
The Miami Marlins are 30-55 overall and trail the Phillies by 26 games in the NL East. They are 5th in the division and have gone just 7-19 against other NL East teams. Miami is 27-43 as the underdog and have gone just 3-12 as the favorite. The Marlins have a series record of 7-18-2 and are coming off a series loss to the Braves. When the Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. The over has hit in 44 of their 84 games this season.
Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins today and has an overall record of 1-8 with a 4.87 ERA. He has a WHIP of 1.56 and has made three quality starts. Miami’s offense has been poor this season, ranking 29th with 3.5 runs per game. On the road, they are dead last at 3.0 runs per game, and overall, they are 26th at 4.0 runs per game. They have hit just 68 homers this season, which is 21st. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team in homers and RBI, and Jake Burger has gone 7 for 25 with 2 homers over his last 6 games.
Red Sox Predicted to Edge Marlins 5-4: Money Line Bet at -143
Our prediction for this Red Sox vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line. The payout for a Red Sox win is -143, and we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Trevor Rogers finishing with more strikeouts than Brayan Bello. However, our projections have Rogers finishing with seven strikeouts and Bello with six, so there isn’t a huge difference in their strikeout totals.
Offensively, we have the Red Sox finishing with nine hits, compared to the Marlins with eight. However, our projections have the Marlins finishing with four runs, which is the second-lowest in the league today.
As for the Red Sox, they are projected to finish with five runs, and they are also 12th in the league in terms of projected home runs.
