The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto. Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and they are 79-78, which has them 3rd in the division. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, with a record of 73-84. Bowden Francis is starting for the Blue Jays.
Toronto is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -132 compared to the Red Sox at +112. The over/under line is at 8 runs. NESN will be televising this one.
Red Sox Surge: Boston Eyes Playoff Push with Bello on the Mound and Offense Heating Up
The Boston Red Sox are 79-78 this season, and they are 3rd in the AL East, 13.5 games behind the Yankees. They are 23-24 against other teams in the AL East. Boston has won three straight games and won the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays. As the underdog, the Red Sox are 38-43 this year.
Brayan Bello is 14-8 with a 4.49 ERA this season. He has a WHIP of 1.37 and is allowing opponents to hit .250 off him. Bello has 10 quality starts this year. The Red Sox offense is 9th in runs per game, and they have a .253 batting average and .427 slugging percentage. Jarren Duran is on a 4-game hitting streak, and Rafael Devers leads the team with 83 RBI. Boston has gone over the total in 77 of 149 games this year.
Blue Jays Struggle in AL East, Look to Francis for Redemption Against Red Sox
Toronto is 73-84 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 19.5 games in the division. The Blue Jays have dropped four straight games, including losing the series opener vs. the Red Sox. So far, they are 20-30 against other teams in the AL East. At home, the Blue Jays are 38-38 this season compared to 35-46 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 44-30 and 29-54 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 17-26-6 this year.
Bowden Francis will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rangers, as he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had turned in a quality start vs. the Mets, going eight innings and giving up just one earned run. Francis has made 12 starts at home and is 3-1 with a 5.03 ERA. On the road, he is 5-4 with a 3.85 ERA. For the season, his ERA is 3.47, and he has a record of 8-5. Opposing batters are hitting .195 this season off Francis. The Blue Jays have played to a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-75. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 24 times, under 18 times, and pushed twice. Overall, 71 of their games have had lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 45.2% of their games. Their current under streak is at 6 games.
Blue Jays Favored on Money Line in Tight Matchup Against Red Sox
Our pick for today’s Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout sitting at -132. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bowden Francis is projected to finish with more strikeouts than Brayan Bello. However, we have Francis finishing with just four K’s, so there are likely better options out there if you’re looking for a strikeout prop.
