Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

Cap off a great divisional round weekend with an AFC matchup between the Buffalo Bills (12-6) and the Kansas City Chiefs (13-5). The Chiefs will host this one at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 6:30 pm ET.

This game has all the makings for a shootout as these two teams combined for 89 points in their Wild Card matchups.

The Bills were able to take down the New England Patriots 47-17. They made history by scoring a touchdown in their first seven drives.

In the end, Josh Allen threw for 308 yards and five touchdowns. Dawson Knox caught two of those touchdowns while Devin Singletary rushed for another two.

The Chiefs were also dominant in a 42-21 victory over Pittsburgh. Despite going scoreless in the first quarter, they turned it on for the next three.

Patrick Mahomes threw for 404 yards and five touchdowns in the win. Travis Kelce had 108 yards receiving and a touchdown. He also threw for a touchdown as well.

The Chiefs are slight favorites in this one playing at home. They are -124 to win while the Bills’ moneyline sits at +106. The spread features Buffalo +1.5 (-110), and the over/under for total points is 54 (-110).

By The Numbers

These are two of the best offenses in the NFL. The Bills rank third in scoring, averaging 29.4 points per game (30.8 on the road). The Chiefs rank fourth, averaging 29 points per game (27.7 at home).

Defensively, the Bills were statistically the best team in the entire league. They rank first in scoring defense, allowing opponents an average of just 17 points per game. The Chiefs rank 10th, allowing 21.4 points per game (17.9 at home).

Bills Look For Repeat Of Week 5

Back in Week 5, the Buffalo Bills went into Arrowhead Stadium and took down Kansas City 38-20. In that win, Allen threw for 315 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 59 yards and another score.

In victories this year, Buffalo has won by double digits in all 12 of them. Sunday night, Buffalo will be looking for a repeat performance of their regular-season win.

Leading the offense this season has been quarterback Josh Allen. During the regular season, he threw for 4,407 yards, 36 touchdowns, and 15 interceptions. He also rushed 122 times for 763 yards and another seven touchdowns.

The leading rusher for the Bills is Devin Singletary. He has come on lately and has rushed for 870 yards and seven touchdowns on the season.

The leading receiver for Buffalo is Stefon Diggs. In 17 games during the regular season, he had 103 receptions for 1,225 yards and ten touchdowns.

Chiefs Look To Arrowhead To Give Them Boost

After starting the season 1-2 at home, the Chiefs have absolutely turned it around at Arrowhead Stadium. In fact, since their loss to the Bills, they have seven straight home wins, including last week’s Wild Card win.

The Chiefs are also trying to make it back-to-back postseasons where they knock out the Bills after they beat them in the AFC Championship 38-24 last year.

Andy Reid will turn to Patrick Mahomes to once again lead the offense. Mahomes threw for 4,839 yards, 37 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions.

As has been the case for the last several years, Mahomes’ favorite targets are Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. Hill had 111 receptions for 1,239 yards and nine touchdowns this season, while Kelce had 92 receptions for 1,125 yards and nine scores.

Defensively, the Chiefs are led by Nick Bolton (112 tackles), Chris Jones (nine sacks), and Tyrann Mathieu (three interceptions).

Take The Chiefs To Win And Cover

While both of these teams have good defenses, don’t be surprised if it is the quarterbacks that take over this game, and a shootout unfolds. With that in mind, expect the game to blow past the over.

In terms of the outcome, it may come down to a single possession or two, but it is hard to ignore how well Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs have played to end the season.

They have won 10 of their last 11 games, and last week’s Wild Card game showed that Mahomes may be playing his best football of the season right now.

Between their solid play recently and having home-field advantage, don’t be surprised if the Chiefs avenge their regular-season loss.

Take the Chiefs to win and to cover the modest 1.5-point spread.