The Cubs and Phillies will face off in an NL matchup at 6:40 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central with an overall record of 80-76, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 92-64. Chicago is +149 on the money line, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite at -177. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Monday’s pitching matchup features Nate Pearson for the Cubs and Aaron Nola for the Phillies. Nola will be looking to help the Phillies snap a two-game losing streak. MARQ will be televising this one.
Cubs Look to Gain Ground in NL Central as Pearson Takes the Mound Against Phillies
Chicago is 80-76 this season and 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by nine games. The Cubs are 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central. They are 43-38 as the favorite and 37-38 as the underdog. Chicago’s series record is 22-25-3, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. They are sending Nate Pearson to the mound, who has a 4.71 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Pearson has a record of 2-2 and a K/9 of 10.14. The Cubs are 73-78 on the O/U line and have gone 12-19-1 when the O/U line is set at 8 runs. The Under has hit in their last three games.
Chicago’s offense is 13th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game, and they are 4th in scoring on the road at 5.1 runs per game. Today, they are facing the Phillies, and the O/U line is set at 8 runs. Ian Happ leads the Cubs with 25 home runs and 85 RBI, and Dansby Swanson is on a 5-game hitting streak. Seiya Suzuki has 21 home runs and 71 RBI. The Cubs are 38-40 on the road and 42-36 at home. Their average run margin in victories is 3.8 runs, and they are 46-32 against the run line on the road.
Phillies Look to Bounce Back with Nola on the Mound Against Cubs
Philadelphia is 92-64 overall and leads the NL East by five games over the Mets. The Phillies have gone 28-21 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies are 52-26 at home and 40-38 on the road. As the favorite, they are 79-46 and 13-18 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 27-18-7, but they have dropped two straight series. Today, they will send Aaron Nola to the mound, who is 12-8 with a 3.54 ERA. Nola has a WHIP of 1.17 and has 19 quality starts. He will be facing a Cubs lineup that has Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, who has 36 home runs and 99 RBIs.
Philadelphia’s games have gone over the line of 8 runs in 73 of their 148 games this season. Overall, their O/U record is 73-75. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, they are 18-18-2. The Phillies have an average run differential of 3.9 runs per game when they win. Harper is hitting .200 over his last 9 games, while Castellanos is on a 4-game hitting streak. The Phillies are 4th in runs per game and batting average this season and are 2nd in runs per game at home.
Betting on the Cubs: Why Chicago is Poised to Upset the Phillies
Our pick for today’s Cubs vs. Phillies game is to take the Cubs on the money line, with the payout sitting at +149. We actually have the Cubs winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the over/under line, which is currently at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Aaron Nola is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the third-lowest among today’s starters. He’s also projected to give up the second-most earned runs and finish with the second-fewest innings.
Offensively, the Cubs are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Phillies, who we have finishing with eight.
