Sports Betting Picks

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees Betting Pick

The Reds and Yankees face off in an interleague matchup at 1:05 PM ET on Thursday. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy money line favorite at -179. The money line odds for a Reds win are sitting at +151.

Cincinnati will be looking to pull off the upset and extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 41-45 and 4th in the NL Central. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and Marcus Stroman will be starting for the Yankees. The Reds are starting Frankie Montas.

Reds Aim to Sweep Yankees with Montas on the Mound Amid Winning Streak

Cincinnati is on a two-game winning streak and is 41-45 overall this season. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, 10.5 games behind the Brewers. So far, they have gone 12-14 in divisional matchups. Cincinnati has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Yankees. The Reds are 20-23 at home compared to 21-22 on the road. They are 21-29 as the underdog and 20-16 when favored. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-16-3, and they have lost two straight series at home.

The Reds are sending Frankie Montas to the mound today, and he is 3-6 with a 4.23 ERA. Montas has made 15 starts and has six quality starts. He has gone 2-2 on the road, and his road ERA is 6.3. Montas has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three starts. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, and the Reds have an over/under record of 37-46 this season. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 1-13-2. This season, 30.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs.

Yankees Look to Break Losing Streak with Stroman on the Mound and Hot Bats from Judge and Stanton

The Yankees are 54-34 overall this season, which has them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles. New York has lost three straight as the home favorite and are 24-16 at home compared to 30-18 on the road. The Yankees are 42-28 as the favorite and 12-6 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 17-7-3. Currently, the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and the Yankees have gone over the total in 46 of their 86 games this season. Overall, 78.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s total.

Right-hander Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today and is 7-3 with a 3.29 ERA. Stroman has a WHIP of 1.29 and has given up 12 home runs. The Yankees offense is 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game and leads the league in walks. Their .331 OBP and .426 SLG are both 4th in the MLB. Aaron Judge is hitting .469 with 4 home runs and 13 RBI over his last 9 games. The Yankees are 2nd in home runs this season with 124. Giancarlo Stanton is on a 10-game hitting streak.

Yankees to Edge Reds 6-4: Bet on the Over for Added Value

Our prediction for this game is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-4 win over the Reds. However, with the Yankees being -179 on the money line, we recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value with the over/under line sitting at 9 runs.

If you are looking for a potential parlay, we like the Yankees and the over. Looking at the starting pitchers, Marcus Stroman is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is fifth worst among today’s starters.

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