Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick for June 11, 2024
At 7:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Reds square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are the slight underdog on the money line (+107). The money line odds have the Guardians at -127, and they are 1st in the AL Central with a record of 42-22. Cleveland has won two straight.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and BSOH is carrying this game on TV. Triston McKenzie will start for the Guardians, while the Reds are sending Brent Suter to the mound. Cincinnati is 3rd in the NL Central, and they are 32-34.
Guardians’ McKenzie Seeks Win Against Reds Amid Tight Over/Under Line,
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Guardians have an over/under record of 31-28 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-4-1. So far this season, only 7.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Triston McKenzie is looking to get back in the win column as he gets the start for the Guardians today. So far, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.17. McKenzie has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 8.76 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, McKenzie gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He finished with a no decision in that outing. Overall, he has finished with a no decision in each of his last four starts.
Reds Aim to Continue Winning Streak as Suter Takes the Mound Against Guardians,
Cincinnati is seven games behind the Brewers in the NL Central as they are 32-34 overall. The Reds will host the Guardians today with an overall division record of 7-6. The Reds’ series record is 8-12-1 this year, but they have won three straight series. At home, the Reds are 17-18 this year compared to a 15-16 mark on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 17-12 and 15-22 as the underdog. They have been playing well lately, going 8-2 over their last 10 games, and they took their most recent series vs. the Cubs.
Left-hander Brent Suter is getting the start for the Reds today and has made 26 appearances out of the bullpen this season. He has a record of 0-0 and an ERA of 3.86. Suter has made two starts this year and has not factored into the decision in either outing. In his last outing, he went one inning out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. Looking back over his last three outings, Suter has finished with a no-decision in each appearance. Opponents are batting .257 off Suter this year, and his WHIP is 1.26. The Reds’ over/under record for the season is 30-33, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they are 1-10-2. The over/under line has been set at 9 runs for 31.8% of the Reds’ games this year. The under has hit in each of their last three games.
Underdog Reds Poised for 6-5 Victory: Bet on the Over and Watch Suter vs. McKenzie Duel,
With the Reds being the underdogs at +107, they are our recommended pick in this one. We actually have the Reds winning by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Brent Suter is projected to go six innings, and we have him finishing with four strikeouts. As for Triston McKenzie, he has a higher strikeout projection at seven, but we have him going just five innings.