The Dallas Stars found overtime magic to stay alive in game four. Tonight the Stars look to win and force a game six, placing the pressure on the current Stanley Cup betting favorite Vegas Golden Knights. For the Golden Knights, VGK is one win away from the franchise’s second Stanley Cup Finals appearance in its short history on home ice.
We’ll review the odds, trends, and stats before making our betting picks for game five of the Western Conference Finals. You can catch game five from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on ABC, CBC, Sportsnet, and TVAS at 8:00 PM ET.
Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Odds
With a 3-1 series lead, the Vegas Golden Knights are listed as the home favorite, between -143 and -154. The Dallas Stars are listed between +120 and +128.
VGK (-1.5) has a 52-45 ATS record, while Dallas (+1.5) has a 52-47 ats record.
The total goals line is set to 5.5, with the over listed between -104 and -110, while the under is listed from -110 to -118. The Stars have a 43-51-5 over/under record, while VGK has a 44-48-5 over/under record.
Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Betting Trends
- Three of the four games in the Western Conference Finals have gone to overtime. Five of the seven matchups this season have gone to overtime.
- The under is 4-0 in the Western Conference Finals. The under is 6-1 in the head-to-head series.
- The favorite and home team are both 4-1 in the previous five meetings.
- The under is 5-2-1 in the previous eight matchups in Vegas.
Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knight Game Five Stats
The five-on-five stats favor the Golden Knights.
Vegas is averaging 3.60 gpg in the playoffs, while giving up 2.73 gpg. Dallas averages 3.24 gpg and gives up 3.12 gpg.
The Stars have the edge in the special teams’ battle. Dallas’ powerplay is converting at 32%, while the penalty kill is operating at 82.6%. Vegas’ powerplay is converting at 18.0%, while the penalty kill is still recovering from the Edmonton series, operating at 61.4%.
VGK has a 31-17-1 record at home, while the Stars have a 28-14-7 record on the road.
Before the playoffs, the goaltending edge would have gone to the Stars’ Jake Oettinger (9-8-0, 2.94 GAA, .899 SV%). However, Vegas has gotten better goaltending from Adin Hill (6-2-0, 2.07 GAA, .938SV%) in the playoffs.
If you are a prop bet player, look no further than the Stars Roope Hintz, who has six points in his last five games and leads both teams in scoring with 24 points (ten goals, fourteen assists).
Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knight Game Five Betting Picks
Our first pick is to take the Vegas Golden Knights on the moneyline to secure a date with the Florida Panthers in the Stanley Cup Finals, winning game five at home.
Our second and third picks are to follow the trends. First, we’re taking the over, especially considering the under is 4-0 in the Western Conference Finals. Second, we recommend taking Dallas to cover the spread and lose in a one-goal game.