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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

Sunday Night Football features a matchup of AFC West divisional rivals as the Denver Broncos (4-7) will take on the Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Kickoff for this one is scheduled for 8:20 P.M. Eastern. Playing at home, the Chiefs come in as the heavy favorites. They are -1000 to win while the Broncos are +660. The spread features the Broncos +13.5, and the over/under for total points is 50.5.

The Broncos had one of their most frustrating games in franchise history last week, as all three of their quarterbacks were ruled out due to either a positive test or contact tracing. Denver was left with practice squad wide receiver Kendall Hinton to serve as their quarterback. The result was a 31-3 loss at the hands of the New Orleans Saints. With Drew Lock likely back under center, they will look to upset the Chiefs on the road.

For Kansas City, since their lone loss back at the beginning of October, they have rattled off six straight wins and will look for another on Sunday. Last week, the Chiefs were able to take out Tom Brady and the Buccaneers, 27-24. While they have been winning consistently, they have not been blowouts. Each of their last three wins has been by four points or fewer.

By The Numbers

Offensively, the Chiefs hold a significant advantage. They rank second in the NFL in points per game at 31.6. The Broncos fall to 31st, averaging just 19 points per game.

Defensively, the Chiefs again hold the edge. They rank sixth in scoring defense as they are allowing opposing offenses just 21.6 points per game. The Broncos rank 24th overall, allowing an average of 27.1 points.

Broncos Hoping For Road Upset

The Broncos know they have their hands full on Sunday, but with a competent quarterback under center again and a defense that has played better as of late, they will still hope for the upset.

Assuming all COVID protocols are met, Lock will be under center for the Broncos. This year, Lock has thrown for 1,767 yards, seven touchdowns, and 11 interceptions this season. He has also rushed for 88 yards and another two scores.

Lock’s leading receiver has been tight end Noah Fant. He has 40 receptions for 435 yards and two scores. Rookie wide receiver Jerry Jeudy looks better every week. He has caught 37 passes for 589 yards and two scores.

On the ground, the Broncos feature a two-headed rushing attack in Melvin Gordon and Philip Lindsay. Gordon has rushed 134 times this season for 554 yards and six scores, while Lindsay has rushed 82 times for 414 yards and a score.

Chiefs Look To Keep Rolling Against Divisional Foe

Week in and week out, the Chiefs have shown that they are one of the teams to beat this season and are, once again, a legitimate Super Bowl contender. They will look to continue their dominance as they take on their division rival.

Under center for the Chiefs is star quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has thrown for a whopping 3,497 yards, 30 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. He has also rushed for 215 yards and another two scores this season. Mahomes is the odds-on favorite to win the NFL MVP.

Helping matters is the fact Mahomes has arguably the best tight end and one of the best receivers in the game. Tight end Travis Kelce has been phenomenal, with 74 receptions for 978 yards and seven touchdowns. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill has 68 catches for 1,021 yards and 13 touchdowns.

Defensively, the stat leaders for the Chiefs include Daniel Sorensen (68 tackles), Chris Jones (5.5 sacks), and Tyrann Mathieu (three interceptions).

Chiefs Win, But Can They Cover?

There is little doubt in my mind that the Chiefs won’t win this one. The bigger concern is with the spread at almost two touchdowns. As previously mentioned, the last three weeks have all been close games.

Still, the last time they played the Broncos, Kansas City won by 27 points, playing on the road. I think this is a bit of a bounce-back game for the Chiefs in the sense that they will not only win, but they will truly dominate their opposition for a full sixty minutes. For my money, I am taking the Chiefs not only to win but to cover the 13.5 points.

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