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Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Betting Preview

Two of the best teams in the NBA will square off Monday night in an inter-conference matchup as the Denver Nuggets (39-18, 1st in the West) take on the Miami Heat (32-25, 6th in the East). The Heat will host this one at the Miami-Dade Arena, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30 pm ET.

The Heat are slight favorites in this one playing at home. They are -124 to win, while the Nuggets’ moneyline sits at +106. The spread features Denver as 1.5-point underdogs (-106).

Nuggets Flourishing Behind Jokic

At -165, Denver Nuggets’ big man Nikola Jokic is once again the favorite to win the NBA MVP and for good reason. The big man is averaging a triple-double as he is putting up 24.9 points, 11.4 rebounds, and 10.1 assists per night.

His success has the Nuggets sitting with a 4.5-game lead over the Memphis Grizzlies for first in the West. While they have been dominant at home (26-4), they will look to pull to .500 on the road Monday as they are currently just 13-14.

Offensively, the Nuggets rank sixth in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game (112.4 on the road). They rank 13th in scoring defense, allowing opponents 112.9 points per game (116.7 on the road).

Injuries could be a bit of a factor as Jamal Murray (20.2 points, 4.1 rebounds, 5.8 assists) and Aaron Gordon (17.3 points, 6.9 rebounds) are both questionable for this one with injuries.

Heat Hope To Remain Strong Against The West

This season, the Miami Heat are a disappointing 15-16 against Eastern Conference teams. Against the West, though, they are a solid 17-9, and they will look to add another tally to the win column as they host the top-ranked Nuggets.

The Heat’s defense is absolutely elite. They rank second in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing opponents just 108.1 points per game. They struggle on offense, though, as they are averaging just 108.4 points per game (worst in the NBA).

Leading their dismal offense is forward Jimmy Butler. He is averaging 21.9 points, six rebounds, and five assists per night.

Miami has two others averaging over 20 points in Bam Adebayo (21.6 points, 10.1 rebounds, 3.3 assists) and Tyler Herro (20.6 points, 5.7 rebounds, 4.4 assists). Adebayo is probable for this one, but Herro (knee) is questionable.

Keep An Eye On Actives And Inactive

Looking at the trends, the Nuggets are 15-5 in their last 20 games and 5-2 against the spread in their last seven. They are also 5-0 both straight up and against the spread in their last five games against the Heat.

As for Miami, they are 8-0 in their last eight home games, and 7-3 in their last 10 overall. Despite those strong marks, they are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games.

This is a tough one to call with so many star-level players questionable. If all things were equal and everyone was a go, it is hard to not like Denver in most any matchup as Nikola Jokic can oftentimes single-handedly win a game for Denver.

Still, with Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon questionable for the Nuggets, and Tyler Herro questionable for the Heat, health could play a major factor in this one. Pay attention to who is active and inactive prior to the game.

If Murray and Gordon are in, take Nuggets +1.5 (-106). If they are out, take the Heat to win at home (-124).

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