Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians will host the Detroit Tigers today in Cleveland, with the game being played at Progressive Field. The Guardians are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at +101 compared to the Tigers at -120. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
First pitch for this AL Central matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET, and BSGL will be televising the game. Detroit comes in with a record of 49-51, and they are 4th in the AL Central, while the Guardians are 1st in the division at 59-39 but have lost two straight.
Skubal Shines as Tigers Aim to Close Gap in AL Central
The Tigers are 49-51 overall and trail the Guardians by 11 games in the AL Central. They are 16-13 against other teams in their division. Detroit is 25-27 on the road and 24-24 at home. Their over/under record is 54-43, and the over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs. The Tigers have gone over in 16 of 26 games when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Tarik Skubal is 10-3 with a 2.40 ERA and has a WHIP of .88. He is 6-0 with a 1.89 ERA at home compared to 4-3 with a 3.22 ERA on the road. Skubal has 14 quality starts this year and is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow an earned run.
The Tigers offense is 16th in scoring at 4.3 runs per game and has a team batting average of .233, which is 20th in the league. Their OBP is also 20th at .299. Detroit’s top hitters include Riley Greene, who is hitting .271 with 17 home runs and 51 RBI, and Matt Vierling, who is hitting .251 with 12 home runs and 41 RBI. The Tigers have won four straight series and are 14-13-4 in series this year. They are 6-5 as the road favorite and 38-21 against the run line as the underdog. Overall, they are 49-51 against the run line, with a scoring margin of -0.0 runs per game.
Guardians Aim to Extend AL Central Lead with Carrasco on the Mound
Cleveland is 59-39 this season and leads the AL Central by five games over the Twins. They are 15-13 in divisional games. The Guardians are 31-13 at home and 28-26 on the road. As the favorite, they are 43-22 and 16-17 as the underdog. Cleveland is 19-10-2 in series this season and have gone under the total in their last six games.
Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today, and he is 3-7 with a 5.02 ERA this season. The Guardians have scored 4.7 runs per game this season, which is 10th in the league. José Ramírez is hitting .271 with 23 home runs and 79 RBI this season. Angel Martínez is hitting .263 over his last five games, and Jhonkensy Noel is hitting .500 over his last three games.
Guardians Poised for Home Victory: Betting Value and Pitching Matchup Insights
Looking at the money line, we like the Guardians at +101 to pick up the win at home. Our predicted final score is 7-6 in favor of the Guardians, giving us some nice value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Carrasco is projected to go just five innings, but we have him finishing with a better ERA than Tarik Skubal. Skubal is projected to go seven innings, and he is averaging 6.5 strikeouts compared to Carrasco’s 5.0.
