Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Betting Pick
At 8:10 PM ET, the Tigers and Twins will square off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis and has the Twins as heavy favorites on the money line (-165). The Tigers are +140 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.
David Festa will start for the Twins, while the Tigers are going with Keider Montero. Minnesota is currently on a three-game winning streak, and their record of 48-37 has them second in the AL Central. The Tigers are 4th in the division with a record of 38-47.
Tigers Look to Break Losing Streak as Montero Takes the Mound Against Twins
Overall, the Detroit Tigers are 38-47 and trail the Guardians by 16 games in the AL Central. They are 12-11 against other teams in the division. The Tigers are 19-25 on the road compared to 19-22 at home. As the underdog, Detroit is 19-28 and 14-20 as the road underdog. They are 19-19 when favored. The Tigers have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games and have lost two straight series.
Keider Montero is getting the start for the Tigers today, and he has made one start this year, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up 4 runs. The Tigers are on the road against the Twins, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. Detroit has a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this year and have a 45-38 over/under record. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, they are 4-3. In total, 74 of their games have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, compared to just 4 games with lines set above 9 runs. The over has hit in the Tigers’ last three games.
Twins Surge Ahead: Festa Takes Mound as Minnesota Eyes Fourth Straight Win
Minnesota is 48-37 overall, putting them six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins have taken the first game of this series vs. the Tigers and have won three straight games overall. In the AL Central, they lead the Royals by two games for the second spot in the division. The Twins are 39-20 this season as the favorite, and they are 20-13 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 16-8-2, and they have won three straight series. The Twins are 24-16 on the road and 9-2 in their last 11 games.
David Festa will be making his second start of the season for the Twins, and he will be facing the Tigers at home. In his first start of the year, Festa went 5 innings and picked up the win, giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and striking out 2. The Twins are 28-31 on the run line as the favorite, and they are 13-13 as the underdog. Their average run margin in wins is 3.6, and they are outscored by 3.5 runs in their losses. The Twins offense is 8th in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Their home run total of 101 is 5th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .423 is 4th. Carlos Santana has a .251 batting average and 12 home runs, and Ryan Jeffers leads the team with 42 RBI. Byron Buxton has been hot, hitting .429 with 2 home runs and 7 RBI over his last 4 games.
Twins to Triumph Over Tigers: Expect High-Scoring Showdown in Minnesota
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Twins to win at home. However, with the money line payout at -165, we actually like the over in this one, with the line being set at 9 runs.
If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, our model has David Festa of the Twins with the sixth-best chances among all starters. As for Keider Montero, he is 11th in terms of picking up a win, but we actually have his projected to go the second-fewest innings of any starter today.
Offensively, our projections have the Twins finishing with 11 hits and the Tigers with nine. If you’re looking for a final score prediction, we have the Twins coming out on top by a score of 6-4.