Friday night features an intrastate rivalry as the Florida Gators (6-5) take on the No. 16 Florida State Seminoles (8-3). The Seminoles will host this one at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 pm ET.
Florida comes into this one off of a loss, as they were downed by Vanderbilt 31-24 last weekend. In the loss, Anthony Richardson threw for 400 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception, but it wasn’t enough for the Gators to pick up the win. Daejon Reynolds had 165 yards receiving and two scores in the defeat.
For Florida State, they have won four straight after taking down Louisiana last week 49-17. Jordan Travis threw for 112 yards and a touchdown. He also had 38 yards rushing and another two scores in the victory.
The Seminoles are the favorites in this one playing at home. They are -350 to win, while the Gators’ moneyline sits at +270. The spread features Florida +9.5 (-105), and the over/under for total points is 57.5.
Florida Has Played Tough As Underdogs
While the Seminoles seem like the better team on paper, the Gators have played well as underdogs. In fact, they are 4-0 against the spread as underdogs, and they are 3-1 against the spread when playing on the road.
Leading the Gators’ offense is sophomore quarterback Anthony Richardson. This season, he has thrown for 2,351 yards, 14 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. He has also rushed 93 times for another 613 yards and nine scores.
The leading rusher for the Gators has been sophomore Montrell Johnson Jr. He has rushed 127 times for 742 yards and nine touchdowns.
Collectively, Florida ranks 51st in the nation in scoring, averaging 29.1 points per game. On defense, they rank 77th, allowing an average of 28.3 points per game to opponents (33.8 on the road).
Seminoles Trying To Finish Season On A Roll
After losing three games in a row back in October, the Florida State Seminoles have gone on a four-game winning streak, and they will look to keep it going against their rivals.
The Seminoles’ offense is led by junior quarterback Jordan Travis. He has thrown for 2,526 yards, 21 touchdowns, and just four interceptions. He has also rushed for 284 yards and another five scores.
Travis’ favorite receiver has been Johnny Wilson. The sophomore wide receiver has 33 receptions for 649 yards and five scores.
On the ground, the team is led by sophomore Trey Benson, who has 854 yards on 121 carries and six scores.
Defensively, Florida State ranks 14th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 19.1 points per game to opponents.
Take Seminoles To Win And Cover
This comes with the caveat that if Anthony Richardson goes off, he has the capability to keep Florida in this game and potentially even pull off the road upset.
Still, it is hard to see the Gators have an answer for the run game. Right now, Florida ranks 93rd in the nation in run defense, allowing 178.7 yards per game to opponents (193.8 on the road).
Fully expect the Seminoles to exploit this weakness and rush their way to a victory Saturday night.
Take Florida State to both win and to cover the 9.5-point spread (-115).