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Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers have a huge mountain to climb to hoist Lord Stanley’s Cup. As for the Vegas Golden Knights, they are one win away from claiming the greatest trophy in sports, which happens to have a special reserved spot in the T-Mobile Arena tonight.

However, the Florida Panthers plan to make the Stanley Cup wait for at least one more game before making its 2023 on-ice debut.

This is GambingUSA’s betting preview of game 5 of the Stanely Cup Finals, with VGK holding a 3-1 series lead and the Florida Panthers desperate to find the magic that helped them make it this far.

You can catch game 5, at 8:00 PM ET from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on TNT, TruTV, TVA Sports, and Sportsnet.

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Odds

Holding a 3-1 Stanley Cup Finals lead, the Vegas Golden Knights are the heavy favorites to win the Stanely Cup on Monday night, listed at -1600.

With the Stanley Cup in the building, so too will the Conn Smythe Trophy. If VGK wins the Stanley Cup tonight, there is only one pick to win the Conn Smythe Trophy: Jonathan Marchessault (-550)

VGK (-1.5) is the moneyline favorite for Game 5, listed between -165 and -180. Florida (+1.5) is the underdog, listed from+135 to +150. Vegas has a 56-17 ats record, while Florida has a 46-56 ats record.

The total goals line is set to 5.5, with a few sportsbooks listing Game 5 at 6.0 total goals. With the total goals line set to 5.5, the over is listed between -130 and -133, while the under is listed between +105 and +115.

VGK has a 48-50-5 over/under record, while Florida has a 51-43-8 over/under record.

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Betting Trends

  • The home team is 5-1 in the previous six games and 12-2 in the last 14 games overall
  • VGK and Florida have combined for a 2-4 over/under record in head-to-head matchups this season
  • The favorite is 5-0 in the last five meetings
  • The Panthers are 0-7 in the last seven games in Vegas
  • VGK holds a 4-2 head-to-head season series lead

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Betting Analysis

The Florida Panthers are a resilient squad, but with a 3-1 Stanley Cup Finals deficit and an ailing Matthew Tkachuk, the Panthers might not have the resilience left to make an improbable comeback a reality.

However, there is always a chance. But the stats and trends aren’t favorable to a Panthers’ comeback.

The Panthers have a 13-7 playoff record, averaging 2.95 gpg while giving up 3.0 gpg. Florida entered the Stanley Cup Finals with a special team’s stats advantage. However, Florida’s special teams’ stats have gotten worse, with the powerplay converting at 21.4% and the penalty kill operating at 70%.

Sergei Bobrovsky will start game 5, having a 12-5 record, a .924 SV%, and a 2.50 GAA.

One more win. That’s what the Vegas Golden Knights are focused on, heading into game 5 with a 15-6 playoff record. VGK averages 3.76 GPG while giving up 2.57 gpg. Vegas’ powerplay has been a major factor in the Stanely Cup Finals, raising its conversion rate to 22.2%, while the penalty kill is operating at 71.2%.

Adin Hill – technically Vegas’ third goalie on the depth chart – will start game 5. Since taking over the net, Hill has been incredible and likely turned himself into an offseason commodity with a 10-4 playoff record, a 2.11 GAA, and a .934SV%.

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Betting Picks

Do we want to see a game six back in South Florida? Yes.

Will we see a game 6? No.

We’re taking the Vegas Golden Knights to win Game 5 (-165 and -180), the under of 5.5 (+105 and +115), to win the Stanely Cup (-1600), and for Jonathan Marchessault (-550) to win the Conn Smythe Trophy.

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