The Golden State Warriors will host the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday at 7:30 EST in a matchup featuring two of the NBA’s most electrifying shooters, Steph Curry and Luka Dončić, who are each averaging over 30 points per game. Both teams are underperforming at this early stage in the season, with Golden State sitting 9th in the Western Conference and Dallas at 11th.
The game will be televised across the nation on TNT. Vegas bookmakers see this contest as an even bout, with each team’s early moneyline set at -110 odds.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors started the season an abysmal 3-7, including a five-game losing streak that all came on the road. They enter the matchup in Dallas on a three-game win streak, most recently trouncing the Timberwolves in Minnesota on Sunday in a high-scoring affair that ended 137-114.
However, that was only their second win on the road this season, with nine of their ten losses notched away from Oracle Arena. Golden State currently sits just above .500 with a record of 11-10. Though they are 3rd in the league in points per game at 117.8, they also hold the 28th spot in points allowed, giving up on average 117.3.
This means that Warrior player prop bets may be more profitable for bettors than the moneyline or spread, especially when playing on the road. This opportunity lies in their big points scorers.
Steph Curry has cracked 25+ points in 14 of his 19 games played, Klay Thompson has put up 16 in 76% of his games, and Jordan Poole has regularly been cracking 10. Sounds like a decent parlay to me!
The Mavs season has been almost the polar opposite of Golden State. Starting off hot with a 6-3 record, they’ve been unable to keep up the pace, winning just three of their last ten. They’ll come into Tuesday night’s matchup riding a four-game losing streak.
Dallas boasts the 3rd best scoring defense, allowing on average 107.3 points per game, but has just the 25th-ranked offense, scoring on average only 109.1.
Observant readers will note that this is almost exactly the opposite of Golden State’s offensive and defensive ranking. Similarly to the Warriors, however, their troubles have come on the road, where they’ve won just one overtime game in Brooklyn and lost seven.
Though their last home game was a gut-wrenching 98-97 loss to Denver, American Airlines Center has been the team’s bread and butter, keeping them afloat amid a tough start away from home. Luka Dončić has been doing his part and more, scoring more than 30 points and grabbing over seven rebounds in 72% of his games, respectively.
His only real help has come from Spencer Dinwiddie and Christian Wood, who are each averaging 17.1 points per game.
Pick and Prediction
Unless you think Golden State will choose Tuesday to turn around their terrible road play, Dallas moneyline is the pick to play.
The Mavericks know they must win at home, and I expect their 3rd ranked defense will ultimately shut down the 3rd ranked offense of the Warriors.