Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick – September 4, 2024
The forecast from Cincinnati on Wednesday calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 PM ET. The Astros are 1st in the AL West with a record of 75-63, while the Reds are 4th in the NL Central at 66-73. Houston is the money line favorite (-141), while the odds have the Reds at +120. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Astros will be starting Spencer Arrighetti. Nick Martinez is starting for the Reds.
BSOH is carrying Wednesday’s TV coverage for this interleague matchup, and the Astros are on a two-game winning streak, while the Reds have won their last two. Houston is 7-3 in their last 10, while the Reds are 5-5.
Astros Aim to Rebound Against Reds: Arrighetti Takes the Mound
The Astros are on the road today, facing the Reds with an overall record of 75-63, which has them leading the AL West by 6.5 games over the Mariners. So far, they have gone 21-18 in divisional games. Houston will be looking to bounce back today, as they lost the first game of this series vs. the Reds. At home, the Astros have gone 39-29 this year, and they are just above .500 at 36-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 57-44 this year and 18-19 as the underdog. This season, they have an overall series record of 24-18-2, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games overall.
The Astros are sending Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today, and he has an overall record of 7-11 with an ERA of 4.63. In 24 starts, he has eight quality starts and is averaging 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings. He has given up 17 home runs this season. The Astros offense is 12th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game, and they are 3rd in batting average at .260. Yordan Alvarez has been hot for them, hitting .478 with 5 homers in his last 6 games. He leads the team with 30 homers this year. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and the Astros have an over/under record of 54-79 this year.
Reds Look to Extend Winning Streak with Martinez on the Mound
Cincinnati is 66-73 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. The Reds are 15.0 games back of the Brewers for the division lead. They have gone 20-23 in divisional play this season and are 4-6 across their last 10. The Reds are 34-39 at home and 32-34 on the road. They have won two straight games and are 13-12 as the home underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 16-25-3, and they have lost three straight series.
Nick Martinez is taking the mound for the Reds today, and he is 6-6 with a 3.77 ERA this season. He has two quality starts out of his 11 appearances. The Reds offense is scoring 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Elly De La Cruz is hitting .261 with 22 homers. Spencer Steer has driven in 85 runs this season. The Reds are 47-26 against the run line as underdogs and have covered the run line in six straight games.
Reds Poised for Home Victory Against Astros: Martinez to Shine
For today’s Astros vs. Reds matchup, we really like the Reds to pick up the win at home. At +120 on the money line, there is some good value in picking the Reds to win outright, and this is our recommended pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nick Martinez finishing with seven strikeouts and picking up the win. As for Spencer Arrighetti, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts as well, but we have him giving up more runs than Martinez.