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Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

After splitting the first two games, the World Series now shifts to the City of Brotherly Love as Philadelphia will host the Fall Classic Monday night for the first time since 2009. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:03 pm ET.

Having blown a five-run lead in Game 1, the Astros were able to make it hold in Game 2. Houston was able to get five runs off of Phillies’ starter Zack Wheeler (four earned). Jose Altuve went three for four, while Alex Bregman had a two-run home run in the fifth.

Philadelphia wasn’t able to get much off of the Astros’ starter Framber Valdez, who went 6.1 innings and allowed just one run. Jean Segura had the only run batted in of the night and had one of just six Phillies’ hits.

Houston is the favorite on Monday despite playing on the road. They are -126 to win, while the Phillies’ moneyline sits at +108. The runline features Philadelphia +1.5 (-160), and the over/under for total runs is eight.

Houston Tries To Steal One On The Road

After splitting the first two games at home, the Astros need to steal at least one game on the road if they hope to bring this series back to Houston for a Game 6. Luckily for Houston, they have played well on the road this year, going 51-30 during the regular season and 3-0 during the postseason.

On the mound for Dusty Baker’s squad Monday will be Lance McCullers Jr. During the regular season, McCullers went 4-2 in eight starts with a 2.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and he struck out 50 in 47.2 innings.

His success has translated to the postseason as well. Even though he has taken two no-decisions, he has a 2.45 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 13 strikeouts in 11 innings of work.

At the plate, the Astros have to be thrilled by Jose Altuve’s performance during Game 2. After having just four hits the entire playoffs up until Saturday night, he had three on the Astros’ win. If he can get things figured out, that will be a huge boost for Houston’s chances.

Alex Bregman has been Houston’s best hitter overall this postseason. In 38 at bats, he is hitting .316/.366/.632 with three home runs, nine runs batted in, and five runs scored.

Phillies Ready To Feed Off Of Home Energy

Given that the Phillies haven’t hosted a World Series matchup in over a decade, it can certainly be expected that the atmosphere at Citizens Bank Park will be electric Monday night. The Phillies will look to capitalize off of that energy and continue their success from the regular season, where they were 47-34 at home.

Rob Thomson will hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard in this one. In 25 starts, Syndergaard went 10-10 with a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and had 95 strikeouts in 134.2 innings this season.

He has mostly been used out of relief to this point in the postseason. In three starts, he has a 1.69 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and four strikeouts in five innings.

Keep an eye on both Rhys Hoskins and Bryce Harper in this one, as they have both been excellent at home this postseason. Hoskins is hitting .333/.429/1.000 with four home runs and ten runs batted in, while Harper is hitting .429/.429/1.000 with three home runs and nine runs batted in.

Value In Phillies At Home

The Astros were able to subdue the Phillies in Game 2, but it will be a whole new ballgame playing in Philadelphia Monday night.

On paper, the Astros have the pitching advantage as Lance McCullers Jr has not only dominated but he has been in the routine of starting this postseason. Still, Noah Syndergaard is a veteran that should be able to give the Phillies’ offense a chance by limiting the damage from the Astros’ offense.

It isn’t that the Astros are necessarily a bad play or that they shouldn’t rightfully be favored, but there is just a lot of value in the Phillies +108 with the way they have played at home this postseason.

Take Philadelphia to win this one straight up (+108) and regain the series advantage Monday.

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