Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants Betting Pick for June 10, 2024
At 9:45 PM ET, the Astros and Giants face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Astros are currently favored on the money line (-119). The Giants have an overall record of 32-34, while the Astros are 30-36.
Monday’s forecast looks good in San Francisco, as the temperature will be in the mid-60s and there will be a few clouds. NBCS will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Kyle Harrison is starting for the Giants, while the Astros are going with Spencer Arrighetti.
Astros Look to Gain Ground in AL West with Arrighetti on the Mound Against Giants
Spencer Arrighetti will be on the mound for the Astros today, and he is 3-5 with a 5.79 ERA. He is averaging 10.61 strikeouts per nine innings and has gone at least three innings in each of his last three outings. The Astros are 30-36 overall and 15-12 in divisional games. Overall, they are 24-29 as the favorite and 6-7 as the underdog. They are 17-18 at home compared to 13-18 on the road. Houston is 6.5 games behind the Mariners in the AL West and are sending Arrighetti to the mound today as they look to build off a series win over the Angels.
The Astros are 2-3-1 when the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the over/under line for their games this year is 9 runs. Overall, they are 24-39 on the over/under line. Houston is 28-38 on the run line and have been a better bet at home, going 15-20, compared to 13-18 on the road. Offensively, the Astros are 2nd in batting average and 4th in slugging percentage and OPS. They are also the best team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.
Yordan Alvarez is 9th in the league in home runs for the Astros, and Kyle Tucker is 3rd in homers and 15th in RBI. Yainer Diaz has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .320 over his last six games with four homers and 10 RBI. Jose Altuve is on a three-game hitting streak, Alex Bregman is on an 11-game streak, and Kyle Tucker is on a three-game streak. The Astros will be taking on the Giants, who have the over/under line set at 8 runs for today’s game.
Giants Look to Break Home Skid as Harrison Faces Astros
San Francisco is 32-34 overall and 8.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Giants are 3rd in the NL West and have gone just 13-13 in divisional games this year. They will be at home today, where they are 17-14 compared to 15-20 on the road. As the favorite, the Giants have gone 19-14 this year and 13-20 as the underdog. At home, the Giants have dropped four straight, and they are 4-6 as the underdog at home. San Francisco’s series record is 11-8-2 this year, and they won their most recent series vs. the Rangers.
San Francisco has played to the over in 35 of their 64 games this season, and the over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs on average. When the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 7 times, under 6 times, and pushed once. The Giants’ games have had an average of 9.0 runs scored per game, and the over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs in 50.2% of their games this season. When betting the run line, the Giants have been a better play on the road this season, going 19-16 compared to 13-18 at home.
They have been a better play as the underdog, going 18-15 compared to 14-19 as the favorite. Their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game, with a -0.6 run differential on the road and a -0.2 run differential at home. In their wins, they have a run differential of +3.4 runs per game, while in their losses, they have a run differential of -4.1 runs per game. They are currently on a four-game run line losing streak at home.
Left-hander Kyle Harrison gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Astros at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 4.18. Opponents have put together a batting average of .266 this year against Harrison, and his WHIP for the season is 1.39. Looking back at his last outing, Harrison took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in three straight outings. Harrison has a total of six quality starts this year. The San Francisco Giants have been an average offensive team this season, ranking 9th in batting average and on-base percentage.
Their runs per game are 18th in the league at 4.3, with their home runs total of 64 also below average. The Giants have been consistent in terms of strikeouts and walks, both ranking 11th and 9th, respectively. Matt Chapman and Thairo Estrada have been the top hitters for the Giants this season, with Estrada leading the team in RBIs. Heliot Ramos has been hot at the plate, hitting .364 over his last 9 games, and Tyler Fitzgerald is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
Giants to Edge Astros in Predicted 6-5 Thriller; Bet on the Over!
Our prediction for this Astros vs. Giants matchup is to take the Giants on the money line at +100. We have the Giants winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Harrison of the Giants has a better chance of picking up a win than the Astros’ starter, Spencer Arrighetti. Harrison is also projected to finish with more strikeouts than Arrighetti.