ESPN will be covering this week six college football matchup between the Houston Cougars and TCU Horned Frogs, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth. TCU comes in with a 3-2 record, while Houston is just 1-4 on the season. The over/under is currently at 49.5 points, with TCU favored by -17. The money line odds are +544 for Houston and -812 for TCU.
Houston’s Struggles Continue
Houston is 1-4 this season and 0-2 on the road, with a 0.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. Offensively, they are 121st, averaging just 10.4 points per game. Their over/under record is 0-5, with games averaging 31.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.
Defensively, Houston is 41st, giving up 20.8 points per game. In their most recent game, a 20-0 loss to Iowa State, they allowed 393 total yards, including 240 rushing yards. Houston’s secondary ranks 15th, allowing 147.4 passing yards per game.
Quarterback Donovan Smith has thrown five interceptions, with a passer rating of 69 and two touchdown passes. The Cougars are 103rd in passing yards per game, with 155. Stacy Sneed leads the rushing attack with 217 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry.
Houston Faces Daunting Challenge
Houston is 1-4 and ranked 93rd in our power rankings, with a 0.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. Their over/under record is 0-5, with games averaging 31.2 points. The average over/under line in their games is 48.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.
Horned Frogs Offense Breakdown
TCU’s offense ranks 16th, averaging 38.6 points per game. They are 3rd in passing yards, with 364.8 per game, and 3rd in passing attempts. Josh Hoover has thrown for 1,774 yards, with a 69.8% completion rate, 14 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. TCU’s run game is averaging 107 yards per game. This week, they face a Houston defense that is 93rd in our power rankings.
TCU Team Defense
TCU’s defense is allowing 31 points per game, ranking 72nd. In their most recent game, they allowed 27 points to Kansas. The Jayhawks had 347 total yards, including 168 rushing yards and 179 passing yards. TCU’s secondary is allowing 155.8 passing yards per game, 24th in the country, and quarterbacks have completed 53.6% of their passes against them.
Expect a TCU Victory and Covered Spread
Our projection for this week six matchup between TCU and Houston is a final score of 37-16 in favor of TCU. The current line has TCU as -17 point favorites, and we see them covering the spread.
With the over/under line set at 49.5 points, our projection of 53 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best bet.
