Sunday Night Football features a battle of second-place teams as the Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1, 2nd in AFC South) take on the Dallas Cowboys (8-3, 2nd in NFC East). The Cowboys will host this one at AT&T Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 8:20 pm ET.
After winning their first NFL game under interim coach Jeff Saturday, the Colts have lost back-to-back games, including a 24-17 loss to the Steelers last week. In the loss, Matt Ryan managed to throw for 199 yards, one touchdown, and an interception. Jonathan Taylor led the ground game with 86 yards and a score.
For Dallas, they have won back-to-back games, including a 28-20 win over their division rivals, the New York Giants, last week. Dak Prescott managed to throw for 261 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions in the victory. Ezekiel Elliott added 92 rushing yards and a touchdown.
The Cowboys are heavy favorites in this one playing at home. They are -550 to win, while the Colts’ moneyline sits at +410. The spread features Indianapolis +10.5 (-115), and the over/under for total points is 43.5.
Colts’ Offensive Struggles Continue
When the Colts brought Matt Ryan in during the offseason, there hope was that he could keep the offense afloat as they tried to compete in the AFC South. Unfortunately, he has done anything but as the Colts’ offense is one of the worst in the league.
In fact, coming into this game, the Colts rank 30th in the NFL in scoring, averaging just 15.8 points per game (11.7 on the road).
For Ryan, he has started in 10 games, throwing for 2,642 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. He has also struggled to stay upright, as he has been sacked 32 times this year.
The biggest weapon that the Colts’ offense has is running back Jonathan Taylor. In nine games, he has rushed for 779 yards and four touchdowns.
Defensively, the Colts have been respectable. They rank 11th in the league in scoring defense, allowing opponents just 20.3 points per game (19.7 on the road).
Cowboys Look For Home Field Advantage Sunday Night
Dallas lost its first home game of the season to the Buccaneers back on September 11. Since then, they have not lost a game at home. Having won five straight at AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys will look to make it six in a row Sunday night.
The Cowboys have one of the top defenses in the league this season. They currently rank second in scoring defense, allowing just 17 points per game to opponents.
On the offensive side, Dak Prescott leads the team under center. In just six games this season, he has thrown for 1,393 yards, ten touchdowns, and six interceptions.
The best receiver for the Cowboys this year has been CeeDee Lamb. He has a team-leading 64 receptions for 104 yards and five touchdowns.
On the ground, the Cowboys feature the two-headed monster of Ezekiel Elliott (577 yards rushing, seven touchdowns) and Tony Pollard (761 yards rushing, six touchdowns).
Take Dallas To Win And Cover
Looking at the trends, Indianapolis is 1-5 in their last six games and 2-4 against the spread in those contests. In their last 13 games against Dallas, they are just 4-9, and they are 1-6 in their last seven on the road against the Cowboys.
For Dallas, not only are they 8-2 in their last ten games, but they are 7-3 against the spread in those contests.
Dallas has been plagued by slow starts as of late, but with one of the top defenses in the NFL going against one of the worst offenses, Dallas is in a good spot to blow this one open early.
Take Dallas to not only win, but to cover the -10.5 point (-105) spread as well.