Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos – NFL Week 18 Preview – Jan 5, 2025

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, January 5, 2025, at 4:25 PM ET. The Chiefs, already clinching the AFC’s top seed with a 15-1 record, will rest key starters, including Patrick Mahomes. Denver (9-7) is fighting for the final AFC playoff spot and must secure a win to stay in contention.
The Broncos have not made the playoffs since 2015 and face a Kansas City team they narrowly lost to earlier this season, 16-14. Denver rookie quarterback Bo Nix will need a strong performance to lead his team past the defending Super Bowl champions, who will be starting backup quarterback Carson Wentz.
Chiefs Preview – Staying Sharp Before the Playoffs
Kansas City enters this matchup without pressure after clinching the No. 1 seed in the AFC. With Mahomes sitting out, veteran Carson Wentz will start under center. Wentz has played sparingly this season, completing both of his pass attempts for 20 yards in limited action.
The Chiefs’ offense ranks 13th in total yards, averaging 342 per game. Key contributors like running back Isiah Pacheco (rib) and defensive tackle Chris Jones (calf) are unlikely to play, as head coach Andy Reid prioritizes rest for the postseason. Kansas City’s defense has been exceptional, allowing just 18.0 points per game, ranking second in the NFL.
Despite reduced stakes, Kansas City’s deep roster and defensive prowess make them a challenge for Denver. Players like Travis Kelce and Trent McDuffie could still see limited action to maintain their rhythm.
Broncos Preview – Playoff Hopes on the Line
The Broncos need a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has been solid, throwing for 3,454 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Nix will face a tough test against Kansas City’s stout defense, but Denver’s home-field advantage may play a role.
Denver’s defense ranks fifth in scoring, allowing 19.4 points per game. Linebacker Nik Bonitto has been a standout with 11.5 sacks, while Patrick Surtain II anchors the secondary as one of the league’s top cornerbacks. They will look to capitalize on Kansas City’s backup-heavy lineup.
On offense, the Broncos will rely on their running game, with Jaleel McLaughlin and Courtland Sutton leading the way. However, injuries to key players like wide receiver Marvin Mims and running back Tyler Badie could limit their options.
Betting Prediction
Denver is an 11-point favorite with a total set at 40 points. The line reflects Kansas City resting its starters, but the Chiefs’ depth and defensive strength should keep the game competitive. Denver’s playoff motivation gives them the edge, but covering such a large spread may be a challenge.
Expect a low-scoring game with Denver pulling off a close win. The Chiefs’ defense will likely limit Denver’s offense, making the under a solid play.
Pick: Denver -11, Under 40