Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction – NLCS Game 4

The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets continue their battle in the National League Championship Series with Game 4 at Citi Field on Thursday night. The Dodgers lead the best-of-seven series 2-1, looking to extend their advantage, while the Mets aim to even the series and keep their World Series hopes alive. Both teams will rely heavily on their starting pitchers to set the tone in this crucial matchup.
The Dodgers dominated Game 3 with an 8-0 victory, showcasing their offensive power and pitching depth. New York, however, has shown resilience throughout the season and will try to turn things around with left-hander Jose Quintana on the mound.
Dodgers Lean on Pitching Depth and Power
The Dodgers’ ability to perform in critical moments has been on display throughout this series. In Game 3, they rode home runs from Enrique Hernandez, Shohei Ohtani, and Max Muncy to secure a commanding 8-0 win. Los Angeles’ offense has been relentless, scoring nine runs in Game 1 and eight more in Game 3, resulting in two of the most lopsided shutouts in franchise postseason history.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto will take the mound for the Dodgers in Game 4. In his last outing, Yamamoto pitched five scoreless innings against the Padres to secure the NLCS berth for Los Angeles. Although Yamamoto struggled in his postseason debut, he will look to continue building momentum after finding his rhythm against San Diego.
The Dodgers are listed as -135 favorites for Game 4, with the total set at 7.0 runs.
Mets Rely on Quintana to Keep Season Alive
The New York Mets find themselves in familiar territory, needing to dig out of a hole. They’ve displayed resilience throughout the season, clinching a playoff spot on the final day of September and overcoming deficits in the wild-card series. Now, they turn to veteran left-hander Jose Quintana to keep their hopes alive in Game 4.
Quintana pitched well in his previous postseason outing, allowing just one unearned run over five innings in a win against the Phillies. He has experience against the Dodgers, with a career 2.04 ERA across 10 regular-season starts against Los Angeles. However, Quintana struggled in the postseason with the Cubs in 2017, giving up 10.29 ERA in two starts against the Dodgers.
The Mets are listed as +115 underdogs, but with their season on the line, they will need timely hitting to complement Quintana’s effort. The offense must improve with runners in scoring position after going just 1-for-10 in Game 3. Key players like Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso will need to step up to push the series to at least a Game 6.
Prediction: Dodgers Take a 3-1 Series Lead
The Dodgers’ depth on both offense and the mound gives them a slight edge in Game 4. Yamamoto appears to have found his form, and with the Dodgers’ lineup firing on all cylinders, they have the tools to take another win in New York. The Mets will need a stellar performance from Quintana and must capitalize on every scoring opportunity to have a chance. However, given the Dodgers’ momentum, they should cover the -1.5 run line and take a 3-1 series lead.
Final Prediction: Dodgers 5, Mets 3