Max Meyer is starting for the Marlins, and he will be facing off against Charlie Morton for the Braves. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET. BSFL will be televising this matchup.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -200. The Marlins are +169 on the money line, and they are 40-68 this season, putting them last in the NL East. Atlanta is 58-49 and on a two-game winning streak.
Marlins Look to Break Road Woes Against Braves as Meyer Takes the Mound
The Miami Marlins are 40-68 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 25 games behind the Phillies. They are 9-21 against other NL East teams and 18-34 on the road. Miami is 4-13 when favored this season and 18-34 as the road underdog. Their over/under record is 60-45, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Today, they are on the road against the Braves, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Miami is 3-9 when the over/under line is set at 9 runs.
Max Meyer and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Braves, and this will be Meyer’s second start of the season against Atlanta. In his first start of the year, he went 6 innings, allowing 1 earned run and striking out 7. Miami’s offense has been struggling this season, ranking 29th in runs per game overall and on the road. They are 23rd in runs per game at home and have the 15th best batting average. Josh Bell has been one of their top hitters this year, and he is hitting .429 with 4 home runs and 7 RBI over his last 5 games. Xavier Edwards is hitting .500 over his last 7 games.
Charlie Morton Aims for Redemption as Braves Host Marlins
Charlie Morton will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets, as he gets the start for the Braves vs. the Marlins today. In that start vs. the Mets, Morton took the loss after giving up five earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Morton has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 4.16 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .233 off Morton this season, and his WHIP is 1.25. Morton’s ERA at home is 3.76 compared to 5.92 on the road.
The Atlanta Braves are playing at home against the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Braves’ games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-63. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 8-12-3. Overall, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, which accounts for 66.4% of their games this season. The Braves are 30-21 at home this season compared to 28-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 51-38 and 7-11 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped four straight at home, and their overall series record is 18-13-4. Atlanta has lost two straight series at home, with both of those series losses coming as the favorite.
Braves vs. Marlins: Over/Under Insights and Key Player Projections
For this Marlins vs. Braves matchup, we are going to stay away from the money line and instead look to the over/under, with the line being set at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Braves, giving us some wiggle room if you want to take the over/under.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Charlie Morton is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Max Meyer at six. However, we have Morton finishing with a better ERA, and he is also less likely to pick up the win compared to Meyer.
Offensively, we have the Braves finishing with six runs and the Marlins with four. The Braves are projected to finish with the second-most home runs in the league today, and the Marlins are at the bottom of the league in terms of projected home runs.
For Morton’s strikeout line, we have him at six, and for Meyer, you could take the over, as we have him finishing with six as well.
