At 4:05 PM ET, the Marlins and Giants square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with an overall record of 50-86. The Giants are 4th in the NL West with a record of 68-69 and they are the heavy money line favorite today at -273. Miami is starting Darren McCaughan, while Logan Webb is on the bump for the Giants.
BSFL will be televising this game, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. On the money line, the Marlins are the +224 underdog. The run line odds have the Giants at -122 compared to the Marlins at +100.
Marlins Struggle to Find Offense as McCaughan Prepares for First Start of the Season,
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 30 games for the division lead. Overall, they are 50-86 and are 30 games behind the Nationals for 4th place in the division. The Marlins are just 13-26 in divisional games this year. When the Marlins play, the over/under line is usually set higher than 7.5 runs. In fact, 73.5% of their games have had higher lines than that. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 74-58. Their games have gone over the line in 19 of the 27 games where the line was set at 7.5 runs.
Darren McCaughan is set to make his first start of the season for the Marlins, as he has been used out of the bullpen in each of his first four appearances. He has a 4.50 ERA in those outings, and his last appearance was on August 8th, where he went just one inning and gave up 2 hits. The Miami Marlins have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which ranks 29th in MLB. Their offense has been particularly anemic on the road, where they average just 3.4 runs per game, also 29th in the league. Their home offense has been slightly better, averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. The Marlins’ batting average of .240 is 12th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .296 and slugging percentage of .373 both rank in the bottom third of MLB. Jake Burger has been the team’s top hitter this season, with a .247 average, 25 home runs, and 59 RBIs. In terms of recent performances, Derek Hill has been on a 3-game hitting streak, while Kyle Stowers has hit .417 over his last 7 games.
Giants Look to Break Series Slump with Webb on the Mound Against Dodgers,
The Giants are 68-69 and trail the Dodgers by 14.5 games in the NL West. They are 21-19 in divisional matchups and 39-29 at home. San Francisco has gone 31-20 as the home favorite and 43-31 overall as the favorite. As for their overall series record, they are 21-18-4. They have lost two straight series.
Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today, and he is 11-8 with an ERA of 3.24 this year. Webb has gone 1-0 with a no-decision in his last two outings. The Giants are 30-38 when betting the run line at home and 38-31 on the road. Overall, they have an average run differential of -0.1 runs per game. San Francisco is 37-26 as an underdog and 31-43 as the favorite. Their over/under record is 68-63, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs. The Giants are averaging 8 runs per game this season.
Betting on the Underdog: Why the Marlins Offer Great Value Against the Giants,
The best way to play this Marlins vs. Giants matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with them currently sitting at +224. We have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout sitting at +224, there is a lot of value in taking the Marlins to win outright.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Webb is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him just 12th among starters today. As for the Marlins, they are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts, which is the second most in the league today.
