The forecast for Thursday’s Brewers vs. Pirates matchup calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. This one is getting started at 12:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The money line odds have the Brewers at -121 compared to the Pirates at +103. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
BSWI will be televising Thursday’s game, and Aaron Civale will be starting for the Brewers. The Pirates are starting Mitch Keller, and they are 5th in the NL Central, while the Brewers are 1st in the division with a record of 90-68.
Brewers Aim to Extend Road Dominance
The Brewers are 90-68 this season and lead the NL Central by nine games. They are 31-20 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee has been good both at home (45-33) and on the road (45-35). They have won four straight series on the road and are 28-18-3 overall in series this season. The Brewers are 4-6 over their last ten games.
Today, the Brewers are sending Aaron Civale to the mound, who is 7-9 with a 4.53 ERA. Civale has a WHIP of 1.33 this season. Offensively, the Brewers are 6th in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Willy Adames leads the team with 32 home runs and 111 RBIs. Garrett Mitchell is hitting .273 over his last seven games. The Brewers are 3rd in walks and 4th in OBP. Their .248 batting average is 9th, and their .30 BABIP is 3rd.
Pirates Look to End Skid as Keller Aims for Redemption Against Reds
Pittsburgh is 74-84 overall and 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 16 games. So far, they are 25-26 in divisional games. The Pirates have dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 20-24-5. As the underdog, Pittsburgh is 40-56 this year, and they are 34-28 when favored. So far, they have gone 35-43 on the road.
Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. In that September 20th start, Keller took the loss, giving up eight earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Keller has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. Keller’s ERA for the season is 4.21, along with a record of 11-11. Opposing batters are hitting .251 off Keller this season. So far, he has made 30 starts, one of which was a complete game.
Brewers Predicted to Edge Out Pirates
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Pirates game is that the Brewers will pick up a 5-4 road win. With the money line payout being -121, this is the route we recommend going, as opposed to the over/under, with the line sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at some potential player props, Mitch Keller is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which ranks as the highest among all starters today. For the Brewers, Aaron Civale is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing fifth among all starters.
