At 9:40 PM ET, the Twins and Padres will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Twins are favored on the money line (-114). The money line odds for the Padres are sitting at -105, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Minnesota comes in with a record of 70-55 and is 3rd in the AL Central, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West with an overall record of 71-55. Martín Pérez will be starting for the Twins, while the Padres are sending Bailey Ober to the mound.
Twins Battle Padres on the Road: Can Bailey Ober Overcome Away Game Woes?
The Minnesota Twins are 70-55 overall and 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. They have gone 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins have gone 36-24 at home and 34-31 on the road. As the favorite, they are 55-31 this year and 15-24 as the underdog. They are on the road today to face the San Diego Padres, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their average of 8 runs per game. The Twins have gone over the total in 19 of the 33 games they’ve played with a line of 7.5 runs this year.
Twins starter Bailey Ober comes into the game with a record of 12-5 and an ERA of 3.49. He has made 23 starts and 14 quality starts. Ober has a WHIP of 1.00 and is holding opponents to a batting average of .205. He is 7-1 with a 2.94 ERA at home compared to 5-4 with a 7.52 ERA on the road. The Twins are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. Their offense is led by Carlos Santana, who has 18 home runs and 55 RBI. Ryan Jeffers leads the team with 19 home runs and 57 RBI. Santana is 3 for 23 in his last 7 games, while Jose Miranda is 6 for 23 in that span. The Twins have Carlos Correa on a 4-game hitting streak and Brooks Lee on a 3-game hitting streak.
Padres Look to Extend Home Winning Streak Against Twins
San Diego is 71-55 this season and trail the Dodgers by three games in the NL West. They are 34-29 at home and 37-26 on the road. The Padres are 45-33 as the favorite and 26-22 as the underdog. Overall, they are 66-60 against the run line. The Padres are 25-14-3 in series this year and have won six straight games at home. They are 6-8 as the home underdog. Martín Pérez is 3-5 this season and has an ERA of 4.62. He has made seven straight quality starts and is coming off a win over the Pirates. The Padres are hitting .265 as a team and are scoring 4.8 runs per game. Jurickson Profar leads the team with a .290 batting average and 73 RBI.
San Diego will host the Twins today, and they are 1-0 in the series. The Padres have gone 20-20 in divisional games this year. The average combined run total for their games is 9.0 runs, and they are 67-58 on the over/under. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. The Padres have gone 19-21 when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. In today’s game, the Padres will be facing a Twins offense that is hitting .265 this season and is scoring 4.8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs.
Padres Predicted to Edge Out Twins in Close 6-5 Battle: Money Line at -105
Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -105. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us some room to take the Padres on the money line at -105.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martín Pérez finishing with four strikeouts compared to Bailey Ober with five. However, we have Ober finishing with a higher ERA than Pérez, and in terms of team projections, we have the Twins finishing with just one more run than the Padres.
