The Mets are the slight favorites despite playing on the road. They are -118 to win, while the Giants’ moneyline sits at +100. The runline features San Francisco +1.5 (-166), and the over/under for total runs is nine.
Mets Look To Secure Series Win
After winning the first two games of the series, New York dropped Saturday’s game 7-4. Trying to bounce back, the Mets will try to secure the series win in the series finale Sunday night.
Taking the mound for the Mets in this one will be 27-year-old righty Tylor Megill. In four games, he is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and he has 17 strikeouts in 21 innings of work. In his last start, he took the loss against the Dodgers after giving up three earned runs over five innings of work.
On the offensive side, first baseman Pete Alonso has been one of the best sluggers in baseball thus far. In 86 at bats, he is hitting .279/.361/.640 with a team-leading 10 home runs, 23 runs batted in, and 18 runs scored.
Francisco Lindor has the next highest with four home runs and 17 runs batted in.
Albeit in limited at bats, the Mets have not had a ton of success against Ross Stripling in their careers. Alonso is one for three, but no Mets player has homered nor hit for a particularly high average off of the righty.
Struggling Giants Hope For Series Split
At 7-13, it has been less than an ideal start to the season for the Giants. They sit in fourth place in the NL West, four games out of first place. To improve, they need to play better at home, where they are just 3-6 to this point.
Looking for the split Sunday, they will send 33-year-old veteran Ross Stripling to the mound. In four games, he is just 0-1 with a 7.30 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, and has 13 strikeouts in 12.1 innings.
Offensively, San Francisco has been mediocre at best. They rank 19th in the majors in scoring, averaging just 4.37 runs per game (3.00 at home).
Leading the charge for San Francisco is J.D. Davis, who is hitting .306/.343/.532 with four home runs and 13 runs batted in (both team highs). Mike Yastrzemski and Michael Conforto also have four home runs apiece.
Against the Mets’ Megill, keep an eye on LaMonte Wade Jr and Mike Yastrzemski. Between the two of them, they have combined for five hits, two home runs, and five runs batted in over 12 at bats.
Take Mets To Win And Cover
Despite picking up the win on Saturday, San Francisco has really struggled this season. In fact, they are just 2-7 in their last nine and are 2-4 against the NL East thus far.
For the Mets, they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and 7-2 in their last nine road games. Against National League teams, the Mets are 5-2 in their last seven.
While Tylor Megill is not an ace by any stretch of the imagination, he has gotten off to a much better start to the season than Ross Stripling. Throw on top of that New York’s much more potent offense and this one could get ugly.
Take the Mets to win and to cover the -1.5 (+140) on the runline.