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Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat Betting Preview

The NBA play-in tournament begins on Tuesday, and the Eastern Conference features a good matchup between the No. 8 Atlanta Hawks (41-41) and the No. 7 Miami Heat (44-38). The Heat will host this game at the Kaseya Center, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30 pm ET.

The winner of this game automatically moves into the No. 7 seed in the playoffs, taking on the Boston Celtics. The loser will have to face the winner of the No. 9 Toronto Raptors and No. 10 Chicago Bulls to try to move on.

The Heat are currently the favorite playing at home. They are -196 to win, while the Hawks’ moneyline sits at +164. The spread features Atlanta as 5-point underdogs (-112), and the over/under for total points is 226.5 (-110).

Hawks Try To Pull Off Upset

This matchup is certainly not the best-case scenario for the Hawks. Not only has Atlanta lost three out of the four head-to-head matchups with the Heat this year, but they are also 17-24 on the road and have lost two in a row entering this game. They will try to defy the odds and pull off the upset on the road Tuesday.

Offensively, the Hawks rank second in the NBA, averaging 118.5 points per game (117.3 on the road). They are led by Trae Young, who is averaging 26.2 points, 10.2 assists, and three rebounds per game over 73 games.

Other major contributors include Dejounte Murray (20.5 points, 5.3 rebounds, 6.1 assists), De’Andre Hunter (15.4 points, 4.3 rebounds), and Bogdan Bogdanovic (14 points, 3.1 rebounds).
On the defensive end, the Hawks struggle. They rank 25th in the league in scoring defense, allowing opponents an average of 118.1 points per game.

Miami Looks For Home Court Advantage

Coming off of a win in their last outing, the Heat hope to take advantage of playing at the Kaseya Center, where they are 27-14 on the season.

The last two times the Heat matched up with Atlanta, they beat them in back-to-back games on March 4 (117-109) and March 6 (130-128). In the game on March 6, Jimmy Butler had a game-high 26 points and 10 rebounds. They will need a similar performance from him in this one.

On the year, the Heat rank dead last in scoring, averaging just 109.3 points per game (111.2 at home). Leading the way for the Heat was a trio of players in Jimmy Butler (22.9 points, 5.9 rebounds, 5.3 assists), Bam Adebayo (20.6 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists), and Tyler Herro (20.3 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists).

Where the Heat shine is on defense. They rank second in scoring defense, allowing opponents just 109.8 points per game.

Take Miami To Win And Cover

This is a classic battle of elite offense versus elite defense. While Miami doesn’t quite have the firepower of Atlanta, you have to like Miami’s elite defense, especially playing at home.

Looking at the trends, Atlanta is winless in their last seven playing on the road against Miami, and they are 2-8 against the spread in their previous eight games.

As for the Heat, they are 4-1 in their last five games, and the OVER has hit in every one of their last five contests.

If the Hawks get red hot from the field, the Heat could be in trouble. Still, expect Miami’s defense to do enough to get the job done, and don’t be surprised if they open up the gap a bit down the stretch.

Take Miami to win and cover the 5-point spread (-110).

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