New York Mets at Houston Astros Betting Preview
Two of the best teams in baseball will square off in an interleague matchup Tuesday as the New York Mets (45-24) take on the Houston Astros (41-25). The Astros will host this one at Minute Maid Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 pm ET.
The Mets wrapped up a four-game series with the Miami Marlins on Monday, taking three of four to win the series. With their win Monday, they now hold a 5.5-game lead in the NL East and have the best record in the National League.
For Houston, they also had a successful weekend taking two of three from the White Sox before their off day Monday. Houston has the third-best record in all of baseball and holds a 10-game lead in the AL West.
The Astros are the favorite in the opener of this two-game series on Tuesday. They are -134 to win while the Mets’ moneyline sits at +116. The runline features New York +1.5 (-166), and the over/under for total runs is nine.
Mets Look To Stay Hot
At 45-24, the Mets have been red hot and have now won seven of their last ten games. Helping their chances Tuesday, they are also a solid 21-14 when playing on the road this year.
The Mets have struggled against the Astros in recent years as they are 4-8 in their last 12 games and are winless in their last six games at Minute Maid Park. Still, they will try to reverse those trends as they face off with the Astros four times in the next couple of weeks.
Taking the mound for the Mets Tuesday will be righty Trevor Williams. In 12 games, Williams is 1-3 with a 3.53 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and has 33 strikeouts in 35.2 innings of work.
In his last outing, Williams went 2.1 innings against the Brewers, allowing one earned run on two hits.
Offensively, the team is led by first baseman Pete Alonso. This season, Alonso is hitting .277/.357/.542 with a team-leading 19 home runs and 64 runs batted in. He also has 42 runs scored.
Astros Hope Pitching Can Slow Mets’ Offense
Heading into play on Tuesday, the Astros rank third in team earned run average as their pitchers sport a 3.04 ERA. At home, they have been even better at 2.68. Manager Dusty Baker will look to his pitching to slow a really strong Mets’ offense.
Taking the ball Tuesday will be righty Jose Urquidy. Of the Astros pitchers, Urquidy has been the most inconsistent as he is 5-3 with a 4.99 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, and has 47 strikeouts in 61.1 innings.
In his last start, he went six innings, allowing three earned runs on five hits to the Texas Rangers. In his last 16.1 innings combined, he has allowed ten runs on 17 hits while striking out 13.
On the offensive side, the Astros hope that Yordan Alvarez will be able to be in the lineup. He has not played since Saturday after leaving the game with an injured hand.
This season, Alvarez is hitting .311/.403/.623 with 18 home runs, 47 runs batted in, and 41 runs scored.
Against Trevor Williams, both Alex Bregman and Yuli Gurriel have had some success. Albeit in six at bats, the two have combined for four hits and two home runs off of the righty.
Take Mets On The Road
This one comes down to the pitching. While Trevor Williams is not exactly a Cy Young contender, Jose Urquidy has been really inconsistent this year. While he has shown signs of brilliance, he has also shown an inability to get hitters out at times. If that Urquidy shows up Tuesday, it could be a short outing for the righty.
Certainly, the Astros have the firepower offensively to keep up with the Mets, but it still is not a guarantee that Yordan Alvarez will play in this one. If he can’t, that would be a big blow to a team that averages just 3.97 runs per game at home.
The best bet might be to take the Mets at +1.5 on the runline, but there is a lot of value in taking them to win straight up at +116 on the moneyline.