New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Betting Pick – September 3, 2024
Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Tuesday, and he is facing off against Andrew Heaney and the Rangers. This AL matchup has a start time of 8:05 PM ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington. The Yankees are 1st in the AL East with a record of 80-58, while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West at 65-73.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -135 compared to the Rangers at +114. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and this game will be televised on YES.
Yankees Hold Slim Lead in AL East as Rodón Looks to Rebound Against Rangers
The Yankees are 80-58 overall this season and hold a slim half-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East. They are 43-27 on the road and 37-31 at home. So far, they have gone 22-23 against the rest of the AL East. New York is 25-15-4 in series this year, and they have won the first game of this series vs. the Rangers. Their over/under record is 76-58, and the over has hit in four straight games. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is in line with their season average. When the line is set at 9 runs, the Yankees have gone over 11 times, under 15 times, and pushed twice.
Carlos Rodón will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gave up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. This season, he is 14-9 with a 4.30 ERA. The Yankees are 73-65 against the run line, and they are 21-4 as an underdog. Their average run margin when they win is 4.2 runs per game. The Yankees lead the league in homers with 211, and their road OPS of .774 is also the best in the league. Aaron Judge is hitting .326 for the Yankees, and Juan Soto has 37 homers and 96 RBI. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .286 with 3 homers over his last 8 games.
Rangers Look to Extend Series Win Streak Against Yankees with Heaney on the Mound
The Texas Rangers are 65-73 overall and are currently 3rd in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 10 games. They have gone 16-19 in AL West matchups and are 36-33 at home. The Rangers are 29-40 on the road and are 21-41 as the underdog. They are 44-32 as the favorite. The Rangers are 18-25-1 in series matchups and have won two straight series. Today, they are facing the Yankees, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Texas and their opponents have combined to score an average of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 61-72 this year, and the average line for their games is set at 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 10-13-2, and 13.8% of their games have had a line of 9 runs.
Lefty Andrew Heaney is 4-13 this season with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. He has made six quality starts and is averaging 8.91 strikeouts per nine innings. Heaney will be facing a Yankees lineup that is led by Corey Seager, who is hitting .278 with 30 home runs. He’s hitting .387 over his last seven games. Adolis García has also been a key contributor for the Rangers, with 21 home runs and 66 RBI. The Rangers are 24th in scoring, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Their team batting average of .238 is 15th in the league, and their OPS of .683 is 20th. Texas has a few players on hitting streaks, including Leody Taveras (3 games), Josh Jung (4 games), and Josh Smith (5 games).
Rangers Predicted to Edge Yankees 6-4: Betting on Heaney’s Strikeouts and Offensive Edge
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers on the money line, with a payout of +114. We have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 6-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Andrew Heaney finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth best among all starters today. As for Carlos Rodón, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is ninth best.
Offensively, the Yankees are projected to finish with eight hits, compared to the Rangers, who we have finishing with 10. The Yankees are also projected to finish with eight strikeouts, compared to the Rangers, who are projected to finish with 10.