First pitch for Monday’s interleague matchup between the Yankees and Nationals is set for 6:45 PM ET. This one is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, DC, and the Nationals are favored on the money line (+156). The money line odds have the Yankees at -186, and they are leading the AL East with a record of 77-54, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East at 59-72.
New York will be starting Nestor Cortes, while the Nationals are going with Mitchell Parker. On the injury front, the Yankees have Gary Sanchez and Edwin Encarnacion on the IL, while the Nationals are without Ryan Zimmerman and Jonny Venters.
Yankees Aim to Extend Series Win Streak as Judge and Stanton Stay Hot,
The Yankees are 77-54 overall and have gone 22-23 in divisional games. They are 1.5 games ahead of the Orioles in the AL East. New York has gone 36-29 at home and 41-25 on the road. As the favorite, they are 59-47 and 18-7 as the underdog. Their current series record is 25-13-4, and they have won two straight series. The Yankees are on the road today against the Nationals. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, and their over/under record is 72-55. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 10-12-2.
The Yankees are 2nd in runs per game overall at 5.1 and 1st in runs per game on the road at 5.4. Their total of 203 home runs is the best in the league. Aaron Judge has 7 home runs over his last 8 games, and Giancarlo Stanton is on a 4-game hitting streak. Gleyber Torres is on a 5-game hitting streak. Left-hander Nestor Cortes is 7-10 with a 4.00 ERA this season. He has a 5.84 ERA on the road compared to 3.30 at home. Cortes has given up 21 home runs this year.
Nationals Look to Upset Yankees as Mitchell Parker Takes the Mound,
The Washington Nationals will host the Yankees with a record of 59-72, and they are 17.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Overall, they are 18-20 against other NL East teams. Washington is 30-33 at home and 29-39 on the road. As the underdog, they are 47-61 compared to 12-11 as the favorite. Their current series record is 17-22-3.
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today, and he is 7-7 with a 4.25 ERA. Parker has a WHIP of 1.25 and has nine quality starts in 23 outings. The Nationals offense ranks 19th in scoring, and they have the fewest home runs in the league. Luis García Jr. is hitting .293 with 15 homers and 63 RBIs. CJ Abrams has 18 homers and 62 RBIs. José Tena is hitting .367 over his last 8 games. Washington is 74-57 against the run line this year.
Underdog Upset: Nationals Poised for Profit Against Yankees,
We see a lot of value in taking the Nationals on the money line at +156. With the Yankees as -186 favorites, there is a lot of room to make a good profit by going with the Nationals.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Mitchell Parker finishing with more strikeouts than Nestor Cortes. However, we see Parker going just five innings, and Cortes going a full eight innings.
Offensively, the Yankees are projected to finish with more home runs than the Nationals. However, the Nationals are actually projected to finish with more hits than the Yankees.
Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, and with their money line sitting at +156, that is the bet we would recommend.
