Max Fried and the Braves (47-38) will host the Phillies today in Atlanta, and they are looking to gain some ground on the Phillies in the NL East standings. However, the Braves are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -144 compared to the Phillies at +123. This game’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET, and APLTV will be carrying this game on TV. Aaron Nola is starting for the Phillies, who are 57-30 and he will be looking to keep the Braves offense in check.
Red-Hot Phillies Face Braves: Can Nola and Harper Keep the Streak Alive?
The Phillies are 57-30 overall and lead the NL East by 9.0 games. They are 14-8 against the NL East and 6-4 across their last 10 games. Philadelphia is 33-14 at home and 24-16 on the road. They are 50-24 as the favorite and 7-6 as the underdog.
Today, the Phillies are on the road vs. the Braves, with the Over/Under line set at 7.5 runs. Their combined run average is 8.6 runs, and they are 39-43 O/U. The Phillies are 7-10 when the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs. Aaron Nola is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA and has 12 quality starts. The Phillies offense is 5th in runs per game and 3rd in batting average. Bryce Harper is hitting .303 with 20 home runs, and Alec Bohm has 70 RBI.
Braves Look to Bounce Back Behind Fried in Crucial NL East Showdown vs. Phillies
The Braves trail the Phillies by nine games in the NL East, with an overall record of 47-38. They are 12-11 in divisional matchups this season. Atlanta has gone 27-16 at home and 20-22 on the road. Today, they are 44-32 as the favorite and 3-6 as the underdog. The Braves are 4-6 across their last 10 games and are looking to bounce back after losing two of three games vs. the Giants.
Max Fried will get the start for the Braves today vs. the Phillies, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 2.91. This season, he has made 16 starts and has nine quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Fried has given up at least one homer in three straight games. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than the Braves season average of 9 runs per game. The under has hit in their last two games. Fried has an ERA of 6.47 on the road compared to 3.99 at home. Offensively, the Braves are 16th in scoring at 4.3 runs per game.
Betting Preview: Braves Favored on Money Line with Predicted 5-4 Victory
There are a few ways to bet on this game, but we are recommending that you take the Braves on the money line at -144. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, and at -144, there is a good amount of value in taking them to win outright.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Max Fried finishing with five strikeouts compared to Aaron Nola with five as well. However, we have Nola going six innings and Fried going seven, giving Fried a better chance to pick up a win.
