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Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

NL East rivals will meet for the finale of a four-game series as the Philadelphia Phillies (20-24) take on the Atlanta Braves (21-23). The Braves will host this one at Truist Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:20 pm ET.

After dropping two of the first three games, the Phillies will be looking for a series split on Thursday. In Wednesday’s game, they lost 8-4 to Atlanta.

In the loss, Ranger Suarez went just 4.1 innings, allowing five runs on six hits and four walks. Offensively, the Phillies picked up 11 hits, but they also left 19 on base. Odubel Herrera hit his third home run of the season in the loss.

Braves’ starter Charlie Morton also struggled in the game. He went just 4.1 innings, allowing four runs on nine hits while striking out four.

Luckily for Morton, the offense bailed him out as they had 13 hits, including three home runs. Austin Riley hit his ninth of the season, while William Contreras hit his seventh.

Atlanta is the favorite playing at home on Thursday. They are -126 to win while the Phillies’ moneyline sits at +108. The runline features Philadelphia +1.5 (-205), and the over/under for total runs is eight.

Phillies Trying To Get Out Of Funk

At 20-24 overall, the Phillies sit eight games back of the New York Mets in the NL East. Philadelphia has played especially poorly as of late, though, as they have lost seven of their last ten games. Trying to get back into the win column and to improve on their 9-11 road record, they will look to split the series with Atlanta on Thursday.

Toeing the rubber, trying to pick up the win will be righty Aaron Nola. In nine starts, Nola is 1-4 with a 3.96 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and he has 64 strikeouts in just 52.1 innings of work.

In his last start, he took a no-decision as he went 5.1 innings against the Dodgers, allowing four runs on five hits while striking out nine.

Offensively, reigning MVP Bryce Harper continues to be a ton. He is currently hitting .318/.365/.636 with a team-leading ten home runs (tied with Schwarber), 31 runs batted in, and 31 runs scored. He is also tied for the team lead in stolen bases with six.

Against Braves’ starter Kyle Wright, J.T. Realmuto, who has struggled this season, is one for three with a solo home run.

Braves Try To Move Over .500 At Home

Currently 12-12 at Truist Park, the Braves will try to move above .500 at home while also trying to chip away at the Mets’ seven-game divisional lead.

Leading the Braves on the mound Thursday will be righty Kyle Wright. He has been dominant this season, going 4-2 in eight starts with a 2.49 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and has 56 strikeouts in 47 innings of work.

He picked up a win in his last start over the Marlins. In the victory, he went five innings of scoreless ball, allowing two hits, three walks, and struck out six.

The Braves could be without one of their offensive stars in the finale. About 90 minutes prior to Wednesday’s game, Ronald Acuna Jr. was scratched from the lineup due to right quadriceps tightness. Out of abundance of caution, it wouldn’t be shocking to see him sit again on Thursday.

If Acuna can’t go, that is a big blow for the Braves as he is hitting .379 in 29 at bats against Nola with three home runs.

Aside from Acuna, third baseman Austin Riley has been one of the best hitters on the team. In 168 at bats, he is hitting .244/.324/.464 with a team-high nine home runs. He also has 20 runs batted in and 19 runs on the season.

Riley has also hit well against Aaron Nola, as he is .370 in 27 at bats with three home runs and five runs batted in. Marcell Ozuna has also taken Nola deep three times, while Adam Duvall and Travis d’Arnaud have both taken the righty deep twice.

Take Atlanta On The Moneyline

The Phillies have been a bit of a mess lately, and the trends don’t support that changing on Thursday. They are 2-5 in their last seven games and are just 1-5 against the Braves in their last six.

Furthermore, in their last eight games at Truist Park, Philadelphia is just 1-7.

One bet worth monitoring is the over. Despite a spectacular pitching matchup, the Braves have gone over in four of their last five games against Philadelphia, and they have gone over six of the last six games when playing at home.

Regardless, with Kyle Wright on the mound Thursday, the Braves have a good shot at securing a series win against their divisional rivals. Take the Braves to win on the moneyline at -126.

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