Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick – Sep 16, 2024
At 7:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Brewers will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Phillies are the slight favorites on the money line (-119). The money line odds for the Brewers are sitting at +101, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Philadelphia will be looking to extend its two-game winning streak, and they are 90-59 overall. The Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 86-63 and have Aaron Civale on the mound. The Phillies are starting Ranger Suarez. BSWI will be televising this one, and the game can be seen on MLB.tv.
Phillies Look to Extend Streak as Suárez Takes the Mound Against Brewers
The Phillies are 90-59 this season and have won two straight games. They are 52-26 at home and 38-33 on the road. Philadelphia is 77-44 as the favorite and 13-15 as the underdog. Today, they are on the road against the Brewers and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Phillies have a 17-18-1 record when the over/under line is set at 8 runs. So far, 49.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and is 12-6 with a 3.05 ERA. He is 2.79 on the road compared to 3.83 at home. The Phillies are 37-34 against the run line on the road this season with a run margin of 0.5 runs per game. Suárez most recent outing came on September 10th, where he finished with a no-decision and gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings. Philadelphia’s offense is 5th in runs per game and 2nd in runs per game at home. Bryce Harper is hitting .367 over his last 8 games with 2 home runs, while Kyle Schwarber has 5 home runs in his last 7 games.
Brewers Dominate NL Central, Civale Takes Mound Against Phillies
The Milwaukee Brewers are 86-63 overall and lead the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. They are 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers have won two straight series, taking two of three from the Diamondbacks and Reds. As the favorite, they are 50-36, and as the underdog, they are 36-27. Milwaukee is 27-17-4 in series this season.
The Brewers are starting Aaron Civale today, and he is 6-8 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Civale has seven quality starts this season and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The Brewers are 77-72 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. Offensively, the Brewers are 4th in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They are facing a Phillies team that has set the over/under line at 8 runs, and the Brewers are 77-63 on the over/under line this season.
Underdog Brewers Predicted to Edge Phillies 6-5: Civale and Suarez Set for Strikeout Showdown
Our predicted final score for this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers. Given that they are the underdogs at +101, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Civale finishing with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Ranger Suarez, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is 11th best. Suarez is also projected to go six innings, while Civale is projected to go just five.