Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Betting Pick – Sep 19, 2024
Both the Phillies and Mets will send out their starters on Thursday, with Taijuan Walker going for the Phillies and Luis Severino for the Mets. This one is getting started at 7:15 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are the betting favorite at -141. The money line odds for a Phillies win are sitting at +120, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East with a record of 91-61, while the Mets are 2nd in the division at 84-68 and are on a three-game winning streak. FOX will be televising this game, and the forecasted temperature is 83 degrees with overcast skies.
Phillies Aim to Extend NL East Lead in Crucial Road Matchup Against Mets
Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets with a record of 91-61, which has them leading the NL East by seven games over the Mets. The Phillies are 27-18 against other teams in the NL East. They have been good at home this year, going 52-26, and they are just above .500 at 39-35 on the road. The Phillies dropped two of three in their series vs. the Brewers and come into today’s game with an overall record of 25-17-7 in series this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 78-45 this year, and they are 13-16 as the underdog. Their overall record is a result of going 6-4 over their last 10 games.
Taijuan Walker is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he gets the start for the Phillies today vs. the Mets. In that outing vs. the Mets, he went three innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Walker has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 3-6. His ERA for the season is 6.29, along with a WHIP of 1.63. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 6.29 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Walker has given up 20 homers and is averaging 3.55 walks per nine innings. The Phillies offense is 5th in runs per game and 2nd in runs scored at home. Bryce Harper is hitting .342 over his last 10 games, and Kyle Schwarber is on a 3-game hitting streak.
Mets Aim to Close Gap in NL East with Severino on the Mound
The Mets are 84-68 overall and are 7 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have won three straight games and are 43-34 at home and 41-34 on the road. New York is 56-37 as the favorite and 28-31 as the underdog. They are 27-15-8 in series this season.
Today, the Mets are sending Luis Severino to the mound, and he is 10-6 with a 3.77 ERA. He has 13 quality starts this season and one shutout. The Mets are 77-75 on the run line this season and have a +0.6 run margin. They have covered the run line in two straight games. New York is 6th in runs per game, and their over/under record is 76-71. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, and the Mets are 14-9-1 when the line is set at 8 runs.
Phillies vs. Mets: Bet on Philly and the Over for Maximum Value!
With the Phillies going off at +120 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for this Phillies vs. Mets matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, giving them a lot of value at +120.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Phillies with an over of 8 runs. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Taijuan Walker going seven innings, while Luis Severino is projected to go five.