Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick
There is a four-game winning streak on the line for the Pirates, as they are 3rd in the NL Central with an overall record of 48-48. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 62-34 and Aaron Nola will be on the mound for them. The Pirates are starting Martin Perez.
The over/under line for Friday’s matchup is at 8 runs, and the Phillies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -145 compared to +123 for the Pirates. SN PT will be televising this NL matchup, and the forecast for Pittsburgh calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s.
Red-Hot Phillies Look to Extend Winning Streak Against Pirates with Nola on the Mound
The Phillies are 62-34 this season and are 8.5 games ahead of the Braves in the NL East. They are 15-10 in divisional games. Philadelphia is 37-16 at home and 25-18 on the road. Today, they are on the road against the Pirates. Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies, and he is 11-4 with a 3.38 ERA. Nola is 6-1 on the road and has a 4.35 ERA away from home. The Phillies are 42-38 when favored on the run line and 8-8 as the underdog. Bryce Harper has a .301 batting average and .403 OBP for the Phillies.
Philadelphia’s games are averaging 8.8 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The Phillies are 43-48 on the over/under line and 14-11-1 when the line is set at 8 runs. In total, 42.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games. Alec Bohm is on a 5-game hitting streak for the Phillies.
Can Martín Pérez and the Pirates Continue Their Road Success Against the Brewers?
The Pirates are 48-48 this season and are 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They are 15-14 in divisional games. Pittsburgh is 26-24 on the road and 22-24 at home. They are 27-29 as underdogs and 21-19 as favorites. They have an overall series record of 13-13-5 and have won two straight series overall and two straight on the road. The Pirates are 45-50 vs. the over/under line, and the line for today’s game is set at 8 runs.
Martín Pérez will be on the mound for the Pirates today, looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers on July 10th. In that game, he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Pérez is 1-5 with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP. Opponents are hitting .307 off him. The Pirates’ offense has been below average this season, and their top hitters are Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz. Reynolds is hitting .284 with 18 home runs, while Cruz is hitting .246 with 14 home runs. Reynolds has hit .314 with 2 home runs and 7 RBIs in his last 9 games, and Cruz has hit .286 with 2 home runs and 7 RBIs in his last 6 games. Ke’Bryan Hayes is on a 4-game hitting streak and is hitting .353 in his last 9 games.
Bet on the Buccos: Pirates Predicted to Edge Phillies 6-5 in Today’s Showdown
Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Pirates game is to take the Pirates on the money line, with a payout of +123. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at today’s starters, we actually have Martín Pérez finishing with the third-most strikeouts among starters, but he is projected to go six innings, which is why we are looking at the Pirates to get the win.