Wednesday’s matchup between the Mariners and Red Sox is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The money line odds have the Mariners at -120 compared to the Red Sox at +102, and the over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs.
George Kirby is starting for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Brayan Bello. The Mariners are currently 1st in the AL West, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East. RSNW is carrying this one on TV.
Mariners Look to Break Home Series Skid as Kirby Takes Mound Against Red Sox
Seattle currently leads the AL West by 1.0 game over the Astros, and they are 57-52 overall. The Mariners will take on the Red Sox on the road today, and they are 26-29 on the road this season. At home, the Mariners have gone 31-23 this season. Seattle has dropped five straight series at home, and their overall series record is 15-17-2 this year. They are 38-32 as the favorite and 19-20 as the underdog. Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today, and he has a record of 8-7 with a 3.03 ERA. Kirby is coming off a start in which he went seven innings and did not give up a run.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-57. The over has hit in five straight games for the Mariners. As for the over/under line for today’s game, it is set at 9.5 runs. Seattle is 49-60 against the run line this season and 26-29 on the road. Offensively, the Mariners are 11th in scoring on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They are also getting a boost from Randy Arozarena, who is on a four-game hitting streak. Cal Raleigh has been a key contributor for the Mariners this season, leading the team in home runs and RBI.
Red Sox Struggle to Gain Ground in AL East Despite Strong Performances from Devers and O’Neill
Boston is 7 games out of the AL East lead and 3rd in the division. They are 56-50 overall and 14-13 in AL East games. The Red Sox are 26-28 at home and 30-22 on the road. They have lost three straight series and are 3-7 in their last 10 games. Their overall series record is 16-13-5.
The Red Sox are 7-7 on the season when the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Boston is 29-23 on the run line as the underdog and 20-34 as the favorite. They are 8-11 as the home underdog. Brayan Bello is 10-5 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this season. The Red Sox are 5th in runs per game and 3rd in batting average. Their .439 slugging percentage is 2nd, and they lead the league with a .32 BABIP. Rafael Devers is hitting .400 over his last nine games, and Tyler O’Neill is hitting .314 over his last eight games.
Red Sox Edge Mariners in Predicted 5-4 Thriller: Bello Shines on the Mound
Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +102. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Brayan Bello is projected to finish with seven strikeouts compared to George Kirby with six. Bello is also predicted to finish with a better ERA than Kirby, and we have him finishing with a better win percentage.
Offensively, the Mariners are actually projected to finish with more home runs than the Red Sox, but the Red Sox are predicted to finish with more hits and fewer strikeouts.
Another reason we like the Red Sox to pick up the win today is that the Mariners are actually projected to finish with the fewest hits of any team in action today.
