St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals Betting Pick
At 6:45 PM ET, the Cardinals and Nationals will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, DC, and the Nationals are looking to extend their two-game win streak. The money line odds have the Cardinals as the favorites, with their line sitting at -184 compared to the Nationals at +155. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
BSMW will be televising Friday’s matchup, and Patrick Corbin will be on the mound for the Nationals. The Cardinals are starting Sonny Gray, and they are 2nd in the NL Central with a record of 45-41. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with an overall record of 41-46.
Cardinals Look to Close Gap in NL Central as Sonny Gray Takes the Mound Against Nationals
St. Louis is on the road today vs. the Nationals and are 45-41 overall, putting them six games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 13-12 against the NL Central this year and have gone 21-23 on the road. They are 24-18 at home. The Cardinals are 23-19 as the favorite and 22-22 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 15-11-2.
Sonny Gray is starting for the Cardinals today, and he is 9-5 with a 2.98 ERA. He has a WHIP of .99 and is averaging 11.19 strikeouts per nine innings. The Cardinals’ offense is 26th in runs per game, and they are hitting .240 as a team. Alec Burleson is hitting .283 with 13 home runs. Nolan Gorman leads the team with 17 home runs and 41 RBI. The O/U line for today’s game is 9, and the Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. Their O/U record is 38-45, and they are 5-5-1 when the line is set at 9 runs.
Nationals Seek Third Straight Win as Corbin Faces Cardinals at Home
Washington is 41-46 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East, 16 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Nationals are 16-12 against other NL East teams. They have won two straight games, and this came after splitting their series with the Mets. At home, the Nationals are 19-21 this season and 22-25 on the road. So far, the Nationals have gone 8-7 as the favorite and 33-39 as the underdog. Washington’s overall series record is 11-15-2, and they are currently 3-7 in their last 10 games.
Washington’s games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for the Nationals is 40-43. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, Washington’s record is 3-6-2. This season, only 18.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Cardinals at home. Corbin has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 1-8 with a 5.50 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has a WHIP of 1.53 and opponents are batting .291 this season. In his last outing, Corbin took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. Corbin has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 6.16 strikeouts per nine innings.
Nationals Offer Great Value at +155: Predicting a 6-5 Victory Over Twins
With the Nationals at +155 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Nationals, and with a win paying out at +155, this is the best way to play this game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Patrick Corbin finishing with more strikeouts than Sonny Gray. However, Corbin is projected to finish with just five K’s, and we have Gray ending the game with six.