Texas Longhorns vs Arizona State Sun Devils – Peach Bowl Preview – Jan 1, 2025

The Texas Longhorns and Arizona State Sun Devils clash in a College Football Playoff quarterfinal on New Year’s Day at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Texas enters as the fifth seed after a strong 12-2 season, while fourth-seeded Arizona State shocked many by winning the Big 12 in their first year in the conference. This game will decide who advances to face either Oregon or Ohio State in the semifinals.
Both teams bring unique storylines to this matchup. Texas looks to solidify its return to national prominence under coach Steve Sarkisian, while Arizona State aims to continue its Cinderella story. Texas is an 11.5-point favorite, but Arizona State’s recent dominance and dynamic offense make this a compelling game.
Texas Preview – Longhorns Focused on Physicality
Texas comes into this matchup off a 38-24 win over Clemson in the opening round of the CFP. The Longhorns’ rushing attack stole the show, amassing 292 yards, led by Jaydon Blue’s 146 yards and two touchdowns. Quarterback Quinn Ewers added 202 passing yards and a touchdown, showcasing a balanced offensive approach.
Defensively, Texas has been one of the best in the country, allowing just 13.3 points per game, the second-fewest nationally. Their defensive line has been instrumental in stifling opposing run games, giving up just 117.5 rushing yards per game. This will be crucial as they face Arizona State’s high-powered backfield.
Coach Steve Sarkisian emphasized the importance of establishing the run game and controlling the clock. Texas will rely on its depth and physicality to wear down Arizona State while limiting the impact of quarterback Sam Leavitt and running back Cam Skattebo.
Arizona State Preview – Sun Devils Embrace the Underdog Role
Arizona State has defied expectations all season, finishing 11-2 and winning the Big 12 title with a 45-19 victory over Iowa State. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has been a steady leader, throwing for 2,663 yards and accounting for 29 total touchdowns. Running back Cam Skattebo has been the offensive star, rushing for 1,568 yards and 19 touchdowns.
The Sun Devils’ defense has been effective, allowing 21.3 points per game and showing strength against both the run and the pass. However, they will face their toughest test yet against Texas’ balanced offensive attack. Arizona State has also excelled in close games, proving they can thrive under pressure.
Coach Kenny Dillingham has embraced the challenge, framing this game as an opportunity to prove Arizona State belongs on the national stage. The team’s ability to stay disciplined and make key plays in critical moments will be essential to pulling off the upset.
Betting Prediction
Texas is favored by 11.5 points, with the total set at 50.5. The Longhorns’ defense and rushing attack give them a clear advantage, especially against an Arizona State team that hasn’t faced a defense of this caliber. However, Arizona State’s dynamic offense, led by Cam Skattebo, could keep the game close for a while.
Ultimately, Texas’ depth and physicality should allow them to pull away in the second half. A final score of 34-20 in favor of Texas seems likely, covering the spread while pushing the total slightly over.
Pick: Texas -11.5, Over 50.5