Sports Betting Picks

UCLA Bruins at Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Pick – Week 6

At 12:00 ET, Penn State will host UCLA at Beaver Stadium in University Park for this week six matchup. The game will be broadcast on FOX, and the Penn State Nittany Lions are coming in with a 4-0 record this season. UCLA is currently 1-3. The over/under line is 46.5 points, with Penn State heavily favored at -27.5 points.

Bruins’ Offensive Struggles Persist in Disappointing Season

UCLA is 1-3 this season, ranked 78th in our power rankings, and they have a 2.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are 0-2 at home and 1-1 on the road. The Bruins are 2-2 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -16. They are 1-3 against the over/under line, with an average line of 52.6 points, compared to 45.5 points per game in their matchups.

UCLA’s offense has been one of the worst in the nation, averaging 14.8 points per game, ranking 93rd. Their third-down conversion rate is 27.9%, and they are 128th in rushing, with 58.8 yards per game. Ethan Garbers has 808 passing yards, three touchdowns, and six interceptions, leading an offense that is 97th in passing.

Defensively, the Bruins are allowing 30.8 points per game, including 34 points in their most recent game against Oregon. They are 33rd against the run, allowing 108.2 yards per game, while opponents are completing 70.4% of their passes for 291 yards per game. The over/under line for UCLA’s next game is 46.5 points.

Penn State’s Perfect Start

Penn State is 4-0 and ranked 8th in our power rankings heading into their week 6 matchup against UCLA. They are 3-0 at home and have a +24.8 scoring margin this season. Penn State has a 60.6% chance of making the CFB playoff and a 16.1% chance to win the Big Ten. The over/under line for this week’s game is 46.5 points, and Penn State’s games have averaged 47.8 points this season.

Nicholas Singleton leads Penn State’s rushing attack, averaging 7 yards per carry and has 408 rushing yards. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 864 yards, eight touchdowns, and one interception. Penn State’s offense is 18th in our power rankings and 26th in scoring, averaging 36.2 points per game. They are also 12th in third-down conversions at 51.2%. Omari Evans leads the receivers with 217 yards and two touchdowns.

Penn State’s defense is 6th in scoring defense, allowing 11.5 points per game. They are 9th in rushing defense, giving up 78.5 yards per game, and 20th in passing defense, allowing 154.5 yards per game. Penn State’s defense held Illinois to just 7 points and 219 total yards in their most recent game. Illinois managed only 34 rushing yards on 32 attempts.

UCLA to Cover the Spread

UCLA is the heavy favorite to win their week six matchup against Penn State, with a point spread of -27.5. We have a projected final score of 32-11 in favor of Penn State, but with UCLA as the heavy underdog, we would take UCLA to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 46.5 points, our projection of 43 points suggests taking the under as the best play.

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