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Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers Game 4 Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers left their game-three comeback for later in the third period, but it was Matthew Tkachuk who tied the game and moved into a tie for the NHL playoff scoring lead, while Carter Verhaeghe scored the overtime winner to give the Florida Panthers their first Stanley Cup Finals win in Franchise history.

The Vegas Golden Knights have looked in control on the ice for most of the Stanley Cup Finals and still hold a 2-1 series lead. After the Panthers’ gutsy win, Vegas looks to bounce back and be the first road team to win in head-to-head matchups since February 2020.

We’ve got the stats, trends, and odds for your Golden Knights vs Panthers game 4 betting picks. You can catch game four on TNT, TVA Sports, Sportsnet, and other streaming platforms at 8:00 PM ET.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Florida Panthers Game 4 Odds

Once again, the Florida Panthers (-1.5) are the slight home favorite, listed between -115 and -120. The Vegas Golden Knights (+1.5) are listed between even and -105 odds.

The Panthers have a 45-56 ats record, while the VGK has a 56-46 ats record.

Oddsmakers are split on the total goals line, with some reverting back to a total goals line of 5.5 from games 1 and 2, while others have game 4 listed at 6.0. We’re using the predominant total goals line of 5.5 total goals for our betting preview.

With the total goals line set at 5.5, the over is listed between -125 and -130, and the under listed between +106 and even odds.

VGK has a 48-49-5 over/under record, while the Panthers have a 51-42-8 over/under record.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Florida Panthers Game 4 Betting Trends

  • The home team has won all five head-to-head matchups this season
  • Florida and Vegas have combined for a 2-3 over/under record this season and a 2-1 over/under record in the Stanley Cup Finals
  • The favorite is 5-0 in the previous five matchups
  • The home team is 12-1 in the last 13 meetings, including 5-0 in 2022-23
  • The under is 4-1 in the previous five meetings in Florida
  • VGK is 1-5 in the last six meetings in Florida

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Florida Panthers Game 4 Stats

Vegas Golden Knights

The Golden Knights have the team-based statistical advantage in most categories.

VGK is averaging 3.80 gpg while giving up 2.6 gpg in the playoffs. Vegas’ penalty kill is operating at 70.7%, while the powerplay is converting at 22.5%. Notably, VGK’s powerplay has been fantastic in the Stanley Cup Finals, converting at 42.9% (6/14).

Vegas has a 6-3 road record in the playoffs.

Jonathan Marchessault keeps scoring, is a contender for the Conn Smythe Trophy, and is a prop bet target considering he has been incredible in the Conference Finals and into the Stanley Cup Finals.

The Golden Knights will start Adin Hill in game four, having a 9-4 record, a 2.12 GAA, and a .934 SV%.

Florida Panthers

The Florida Panthers need to stay out of the penalty box to win game four and the Stanley Cup in general. The refereeing has somewhat hamstrung the Panthers’ aggressive and physical style of play, which has been key to the Panthers’ success.

Florida’s powerplay is converting at 21.8% in the playoffs, while the penalty kill is operating at 69.6%. The Panthers are averaging 3.00 gpg offensively and defensively in the 2023 playoffs.

The Panthers are 5-3 at home in the playoffs and 7-0 in overtime.

If there is a person on the Panthers’ to pick for prop bets, it’s Florida’s Conn Smythe favorite, Matthew Tkachuk.

Sergei Bobrovsky looked like the goalie we’ve seen throughout the playoffs in game three, the same goalie who appeared to vacate the crease in games 1 and 2. Bobrovsky will start for the Panthers, having a 12-4 record, a .925 SV%, and a 2.46 GAA.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Florida Panthers Game 4 Betting Picks

Stats favor VGK, but we’re following the home and favorite team winning streak trend and taking the Florida Panthers to even the Stanley Cup Finals at 2-2.

Our second pick is to take the under of 5.5 on the presumption that Bobrovsky has returned to form after games 1 & 2.

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