On Sunday, October 4, 2026, the New York Jets visit the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. The game starts at 1:00 PM and will be broadcast on FOX. The weather forecast calls for a clear sky and a light breeze.
The current betting lines favor the Bears with a -3.5 spread at -102 odds. The Jets are set at +3.5 with -120 odds. The Bears’ moneyline sits at -173, while the Jets are at +145. The over/under is 43.0, with both sides at -110. Bettors might focus on the Bears’ home advantage or the Jets’ potential to cover the spread.
New York Jets: Season Snapshot
The New York Jets offense is led by quarterback Geno Smith. He has 783 passing yards and four touchdowns in three games this season. His top target is Garrett Wilson, who has 243 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Breece Hall and Braelon Allen share the backfield duties. Hall is coming off a strong season with 163 rushing yards and 102 receiving yards in three games. However, Allen has emerged as the primary rusher for this game, with a projection of 48.5 rushing yards.
The Jets defense ranks second in opponent yards per game, allowing only 258.3 yards. Demario Davis leads the team with 11 solo tackles this season. Minkah Fitzpatrick, though questionable, is a key player in their secondary.
Chicago Bears: Season Snapshot
The Chicago Bears will rely on Tyson Bagent at quarterback this week. He is projected to throw for 149.6 yards and 0.9 touchdowns. D’Andre Swift will lead the backfield with an expected 69.5 rushing yards and 0.6 touchdowns. Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III are key targets, with projections of 51.5 and 52.9 receiving yards, respectively.
Offensively, the Bears focus on a balanced attack. They rank first in rushing yards per game with 184.3 and 13th in passing yards with 223.7. The team scores 29.7 points per game, which is fifth in the league. Cairo Santos is a reliable kicker, contributing with an average of 7.9 fantasy points per game.
Defensively, the Bears allow 17.7 points per game. They rank 13th in both opponent passing yards per game and sacks with seven. T.J. Edwards and Montez Sweat are key defenders to watch. Edwards has already made an interception, and Sweat has recorded a sack this season.
Betting Prediction
The Bears have a solid offense this season, ranking 5th in scoring with an average of 29.7 points per game. Their rushing attack is particularly effective, ranking 1st in the league. This gives them a strong advantage over the Jets’ defense, which is good but not as dominant against the run.
The Jets’ offense has been average, scoring 21.3 points per game. While they have a top 10 passing game, their rushing attack is weaker. The Bears’ defense is also strong, allowing only 17.7 points per game, making it hard for the Jets to score a lot of points.
Given these factors, the Bears are likely to cover the spread. They have the offensive firepower and defensive strength to win by more than 3.5 points at home.
- Pick: Bears -3.5 (-102)
