Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick
The over/under line for Friday’s Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup is currently at 8.5 runs, with Baltimore being favored on the money line (-216). Boston comes into the game with a record of 63-57, while the Orioles are 72-50. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s.
Boston will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, and they are starting Cooper Criswell. Baltimore is starting Corbin Burnes. NESN will be televising Friday’s game, and the first pitch from Camden Yards is set for 7:05 PM ET.
Red Sox Battle Orioles with Strong Road Record and Top Batting Stats
Boston is 63-57 overall and is 8.0 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They are 14-14 against the AL East and 29-32 at home compared to 34-25 on the road. Their series record is 20-13-5, and they have won two straight series on the road. Their series vs. the Orioles is 0-1 so far.
The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game and an over/under record of 63-50. They are 55-65 against the run line and 33-26 on the road. Cooper Criswell is 4-4 with a 4.02 ERA through 13 starts. He has one quality start and is averaging 7.03 strikeouts per nine innings. The Red Sox have the best batting average on balls in play and are 4th in runs per game, 2nd in batting average, and 3rd in slugging percentage.
Orioles Neck-and-Neck with Yankees for AL East Lead, Burnes to Start in Crucial Matchup
The Orioles are currently tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead at 72-50. Baltimore leads the division by 1.5 games over the Blue Jays. They are 27-13 against other teams in the division. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-45. Their run line record is 67-55 overall and 31-31 at home. Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today, and he is 12-4 with a 2.71 ERA this season.
Baltimore has the best ISO in the league at .196 and the most home runs with 188. Their 5 runs per game on the road is 2nd in the league. Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been two of their best hitters. Santander is hitting just .171 over his last 9 games. The Orioles are 60-39 as the favorite this season and 12-11 as the underdog. They are 36-26 at home and 36-24 on the road. Their overall run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they are 51-48 against the run line as the favorite.
Red Sox Favored in Tight Matchup Against Orioles: Betting Insights and Projections
With the Red Sox at +180 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there is a little bit of cushion on both sides.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Cooper Criswell is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and we have Corbin Burnes finishing with six. As for the Orioles and Red Sox lineups, the Red Sox are projected to finish with 12 total hits, compared to the Orioles with nine.
Another reason we like the Red Sox on the money line is that they are currently projected to finish with the second-most home runs in the league today, and the Orioles are fourth.