The forecast for Monday’s Red Sox vs. Royals game calls for clear skies and temperatures near 100 degrees. This one is getting started at 8:10 PM ET from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Boston is 59-51, while the Royals are 63-50, and both teams are 3rd in their respective divisions.
Kansas City is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. BSKC is airing this one on TV, and the Red Sox will have James Paxton on the mound. Brady Singer is starting for the Royals.
Red Sox Hit the Road Against Royals: Can Paxton Overcome Road Woes?
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-48. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 7-8. Over their last three games, the over has hit each time. When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 31-24. Their average run margin in those games is +0.9. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 32-24 against the run line, compared to 20-34 as the favorite. Their average run margin in all games is +0.3.
James Paxton gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Royals on the road. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 8-3 with an ERA of 4.52. Looking at his overall numbers, Paxton has a WHIP of 1.46 and opponents are batting .244 this season. In his 19 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.63 strikeouts per nine innings. The left-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 7.55 ERA on the road compared to 3.5 at home.
Red-Hot Royals Look to Extend Winning Streak at Home Against Red Sox
The Royals are 63-50 this season and trail the Guardians by five games in the AL Central. So far, they are 25-11 against divisional foes and have won two straight series. Kansas City is 36-22 at home and 27-28 on the road. They are 36-20 as the favorite and 27-30 as the underdog. Today, they are playing at home vs. the Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. This season, the Royals have gone over the total in 48 of their 110 games. Brady Singer will be on the mound for the Royals and is 8-6 with a 2.88 ERA this season. He has won each of his last three starts and is averaging 8.28 strikeouts per nine innings.
The Royals are 64-49 on the run line this season and have a run margin of +0.8 runs per game. Offensively, they are 9th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .344 with 20 homers and 79 RBI. Salvador Perez is hitting .279 with 20 homers and 75 RBI. Vinnie Pasquantino has been hot at the plate, hitting .326 with four homers and 13 RBI over his last 10 games. The Royals are 3rd in scoring at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Singer will be looking to build off his last outing, where he went seven innings and gave up three earned runs.
Royals to Edge Out Red Sox in Predicted 6-5 Thriller: Money Line Pick -145
Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Royals matchup is that the Royals will pick up a 6-5 win at home. If you’re looking for a recommended pick, we would go with the Royals on the money line, where the payout is -145.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fifth among all starters today. As for Brady Singer, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him coming in at 12th.
