Sports Betting Picks

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers – NFL Preview – Week 5 – Oct 11, 2026

The Chicago Bears head to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers this Sunday, October 11, 2026. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM, and fans can catch the game on FOX. The Bears are favored with a spread of -2.5, and their moneyline is -155. The Packers have a moneyline of +130, with the game total set at 45.5.

Both teams are seeking a win in their NFC North division battle. The Bears have a 3-1 record, showing strength early in the season. Meanwhile, the Packers sit at 2-2, looking to secure their first home win. Bettors might be interested in the Bears’ road performance and the Packers’ need to improve at home. The over/under of 45.5 could also draw attention, given both teams’ recent scoring trends.

Chicago Bears: Season Snapshot

The Chicago Bears are set to hit the field with Tyson Bagent starting at quarterback. He is projected to throw for 183 yards and 1.2 touchdowns. Caleb Williams, who is normally the starter, is questionable with a hamstring injury.

On the ground, D’Andre Swift leads the running back rotation, expected to rush for 72.5 yards. Kyle Monangai is set to follow with a projection of 47.1 rushing yards. In the passing game, Luther Burden III and Rome Odunze are the key wide receivers, combining for over 100 receiving yards.

Defensively, the Bears have shown strength, ranking third in opponent passing yards allowed. T.J. Edwards and Devin Bush are key players in the linebacker positions. The Bears’ defense is also ranked fourth in points allowed per game, with 16.2.

Green Bay Packers: Season Snapshot

The Green Bay Packers are set to rely on quarterback Jordan Love this season. Love has shown promise with 1,041 passing yards and eight touchdowns through four games. He will look to connect with Christian Watson, who leads the team with 331 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

On the ground, MarShawn Lloyd is the leading running back, averaging 36.1 rushing yards per game. The offensive line, anchored by Aaron Banks, looks to improve their run-blocking performance as they rank last in the league with 58 rushing yards per game. Tucker Kraft, at tight end, has also been a solid target for Love, contributing 148 receiving yards and one touchdown.

The Packers’ defense, led by Lukas Van Ness and Xavier McKinney, ranks high in pass defense, allowing only 185 passing yards per game. This unit will need to maintain its pressure on opposing quarterbacks, with ten sacks recorded so far. The defense will focus on stopping the run, as they have struggled in this area, allowing 139.2 rushing yards per game.

Betting Prediction

The Chicago Bears have a strong offense this season, ranking first in total offensive yards per game. They average 429 yards and 28 points per game. Their rushing attack is also leading the league, which could be key against the Packers’ defense.

The Green Bay Packers’ defense ranks 26th in rushing yards allowed per game. This could be an advantage for the Bears, who excel at running the ball. The Packers are also allowing over 26 points per game, which might make it difficult to contain the Bears’ offense.

Given these factors, the Bears’ ability to score and control the game with their rushing attack seems favorable. The Packers’ struggles on defense, especially against the run, make the Bears a strong pick to cover the spread.

  • Pick: Bears -2.5 (-122)

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