The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Sunday, September 27, 2026. The game kicks off at 1:00 PM and will air on CBS (Paramount+). The Chiefs are currently favored with a spread of -11.5, and their moneyline is set at -756. The Dolphins are listed at +534 on the moneyline. The total points line is set at 46.5.
The Chiefs have started strong with a 2-0 record, while the Dolphins are still searching for their first win at 0-2. Bettors will likely focus on the Chiefs’ ability to cover the large spread. Another angle to consider is the over/under line, especially given the Chiefs’ offensive potential and the Dolphins’ current struggles. Keep an eye on these trends as you prepare your bets.
Kansas City Chiefs: Season Snapshot
Patrick Mahomes leads the Chiefs’ offense. This season, he averages 260.4 passing yards per game with 2.1 touchdowns. He connects often with Travis Kelce, who averages 56 receiving yards per game. Kenneth Walker is the primary running back, rushing for 85 yards per game with help from Emmett Johnson.
The Chiefs’ offense is known for its strong passing game. They average 271.5 passing yards per game this season. On the ground, they average 186 rushing yards per game, ranking second in the league. This balance helps them score 32 points per game.
On defense, Chris Jones anchors the line. L’Jarius Sneed and Nick Bolton lead the secondary and linebackers. The team allows 252.5 offensive yards per game, ranking third. They focus on limiting passing yards, allowing only 162.5 per game.
Miami Dolphins: Season Snapshot
The Miami Dolphins look to improve their season with a strong performance from quarterback Malik Willis. He has passed for 417 yards over the first two games, with one touchdown and one interception. The team relies on his ability to make plays both through the air and on the ground, contributing to the Dolphins’ passing offense.
Running back De’Von Achane leads the team’s rushing attack. He has managed 110 yards so far this season and also provides help in the passing game with multiple receptions. Achane’s versatility is key for the Dolphins’ offense, allowing them to mix up their playcalling and keep defenses guessing.
On defense, the Dolphins will focus on limiting opponent yards and creating turnovers. Zayne Anderson and Michael Taaffe have been active in the secondary, with Taaffe recording an interception this season. The team’s defense aims to capitalize on any mistakes from their opponents to help secure a win.
Betting Prediction
The Kansas City Chiefs are strong on offense, ranking first in offensive yards and third in scoring. They average 32 points per game. The Dolphins, on the other hand, have a weaker defense, allowing 31 points per game. This suggests that the Chiefs can score well against the Dolphins.
On defense, the Chiefs rank highly in limiting yards, being third in opponent offensive yards. The Dolphins’ offense ranks 21st in both scoring and passing yards. This indicates that the Dolphins might struggle to score many points against a solid Chiefs defense.
Considering these factors, the total points line of 46.5 seems within reach. The Chiefs are likely to score more than their average due to the Dolphins’ defense, while limiting the Dolphins’ scoring. This makes the over on the total points a viable option.
- Pick: Total Over 46.5 (-108)
