Sports Betting Picks

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots – NFL Preview – Week 5 – Oct 11, 2026

The Las Vegas Raiders head to Gillette Stadium to play the New England Patriots on Sunday, October 11, 2026. The game starts at 1:00 PM and will be shown on CBS. The Patriots are favored by 3.5 points, with a moneyline of -198, while the Raiders are at +164. The total points line is set at 45.5.

The Raiders bring a strong road record of 2-0 into this game. They are 3-1 overall this season. On the other side, the Patriots are 2-2, with a home record of 1-0. Betting on the spread or total might be worth considering given these stats. This game could provide some interesting angles for bettors.

Las Vegas Raiders: Season Snapshot

The Las Vegas Raiders have Kirk Cousins leading the offense at quarterback. He has been consistent this season with 1,026 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. Cousins will look to connect with tight end Brock Bowers, who has 202 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns so far.

The Raiders’ running game relies on Ashton Jeanty, who has 264 rushing yards. Jeanty also contributes with 165 receiving yards, making him a dual threat. On the outside, wide receiver Tre Tucker aims to add to his 233 receiving yards and 1 touchdown this season.

Defensively, the Raiders’ key players include Maxx Crosby and Kwity Paye on the line. Both have contributed to the team’s 12 sacks. The secondary, led by Hezekiah Masses, will be crucial in limiting the opponent’s passing game. The Raiders have allowed 202.8 passing yards per game, ranking 8th in the league.

New England Patriots: Season Snapshot

The Patriots are gearing up for their next game with Drake Maye leading the offense at quarterback. Maye has been a key player this season, averaging 232.9 passing yards per game. In the backfield, Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson share the load, with Stevenson contributing both on the ground and through the air.

On offense, the Patriots focus on a balanced attack. They rank 16th in offensive yards per game, with passing and rushing playing vital roles. The wide receiver duo of Romeo Doubs and Mack Hollins, alongside tight end Hunter Henry, provides reliable targets for Maye.

Defensively, the Patriots have been strong, allowing just 293.8 yards per game. Their secondary, led by Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis III, is effective at limiting opponents’ passing yards. The defensive line, featuring Elijah Ponder, focuses on applying pressure and forcing turnovers.

Betting Prediction

The Raiders have shown strong offensive numbers this season. They score an average of 28.8 points per game, which ranks 7th in the league. Their passing game is effective, ranking 9th in passing yards per game. This suggests they can put up points, even against good defenses.

On the other hand, the Patriots’ offense struggles to score, averaging only 16.2 points per game. They rank 27th in this category. Their defense, however, is solid, allowing just 19.2 points per game. This indicates that while they can limit opponents’ scoring, they might not contribute much to a high total score.

Given these stats, the total of 45.5 seems high. The Patriots’ defense can keep the score low, and their offense is not likely to push the total over. This makes the under a more favorable option.

  • Pick: Total Under 45.5 (-116)

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